Trader consensus favors 11 cities at 51.5% implied probability for Waymo's robotaxi operations by June 30, driven by the company's accelerated expansion to 10 U.S. metro areas with public fully autonomous service as of mid-April, including recent full openings to all riders in Miami and Orlando on April 15. This follows February launches in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, showcasing Waymo's scaling momentum amid favorable regulatory environments in Texas and Florida. Lower odds for 9 (17.7%) or 10 (13.5%) reflect expectations of at least one more rollout, such as New Orleans where testing is underway per April reports, or Las Vegas/San Diego amid ongoing mapping. Key risks include regulatory approvals and safety incident delays, with resolution hinging on official service announcements before the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated11 54%
10 22%
9 17.9%
12+ 10%
$147,472 Vol.
$147,472 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
≤5
1%
6
2%
7
8%
8
4%
9
18%
10
16%
11
54%
12+
10%
11 54%
10 22%
9 17.9%
12+ 10%
$147,472 Vol.
$147,472 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
≤5
$41,256 Vol.
1%
6
$18,814 Vol.
2%
7
$12,412 Vol.
8%
8
$13,167 Vol.
4%
9
$16,451 Vol.
18%
10
$11,183 Vol.
16%
11
$13,414 Vol.
54%
12+
$20,776 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors 11 cities at 51.5% implied probability for Waymo's robotaxi operations by June 30, driven by the company's accelerated expansion to 10 U.S. metro areas with public fully autonomous service as of mid-April, including recent full openings to all riders in Miami and Orlando on April 15. This follows February launches in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, showcasing Waymo's scaling momentum amid favorable regulatory environments in Texas and Florida. Lower odds for 9 (17.7%) or 10 (13.5%) reflect expectations of at least one more rollout, such as New Orleans where testing is underway per April reports, or Las Vegas/San Diego amid ongoing mapping. Key risks include regulatory approvals and safety incident delays, with resolution hinging on official service announcements before the deadline.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ET
Volume
$147,472End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors 11 cities at 51.5% implied probability for Waymo's robotaxi operations by June 30, driven by the company's accelerated expansion to 10 U.S. metro areas with public fully autonomous service as of mid-April, including recent full openings to all riders in Miami and Orlando on April 15. This follows February launches in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, showcasing Waymo's scaling momentum amid favorable regulatory environments in Texas and Florida. Lower odds for 9 (17.7%) or 10 (13.5%) reflect expectations of at least one more rollout, such as New Orleans where testing is underway per April reports, or Las Vegas/San Diego amid ongoing mapping. Key risks include regulatory approvals and safety incident delays, with resolution hinging on official service announcements before the deadline.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$147,472End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors 11 cities at 51.5% implied probability for Waymo's robotaxi operations by June 30, driven by the company's accelerated expansion to 10 U.S. metro areas with public fully autonomous service as of mid-April, including recent full openings to all riders in Miami and Orlando on April 15. This follows February launches in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, showcasing Waymo's scaling momentum amid favorable regulatory environments in Texas and Florida. Lower odds for 9 (17.7%) or 10 (13.5%) reflect expectations of at least one more rollout, such as New Orleans where testing is underway per April reports, or Las Vegas/San Diego amid ongoing mapping. Key risks include regulatory approvals and safety incident delays, with resolution hinging on official service announcements before the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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