Recent short-term forecasts for Shanghai on June 15 indicate a daily maximum near 25°C under typical early-summer Yangtze River Delta conditions, including moderate diurnal heating, variable cloud cover, and light easterly monsoon flow during the plum rain season. These elements position 25°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 46.5% probability, with 24°C and 26°C as close alternatives, as traders assess sensitivity to any increase in showers or overcast skies that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C versus clearer intervals permitting slight warming. Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration highlights this uncertainty range, while the market's tight clustering reflects aggregated trader consensus on near-term model consensus ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
25°C 46%
24°C 29%
26°C 21%
23°C 3.9%
NUEVO
$49,262 Vol.
NUEVO
$49,262 Vol.
15 jun 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
29%
25°C
46%
26°C
21%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 46%
24°C 29%
26°C 21%
23°C 3.9%
NUEVO
$49,262 Vol.
NUEVO
$49,262 Vol.
15 jun 2026
21°C or below
$552 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$19,168 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,197 Vol.
4%
24°C
$5,013 Vol.
29%
25°C
$3,071 Vol.
46%
26°C
$2,680 Vol.
21%
27°C
$3,402 Vol.
2%
28°C
$3,711 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,412 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,614 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,607 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts for Shanghai on June 15 indicate a daily maximum near 25°C under typical early-summer Yangtze River Delta conditions, including moderate diurnal heating, variable cloud cover, and light easterly monsoon flow during the plum rain season. These elements position 25°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 46.5% probability, with 24°C and 26°C as close alternatives, as traders assess sensitivity to any increase in showers or overcast skies that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C versus clearer intervals permitting slight warming. Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration highlights this uncertainty range, while the market's tight clustering reflects aggregated trader consensus on near-term model consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volumen
$49,262Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts for Shanghai on June 15 indicate a daily maximum near 25°C under typical early-summer Yangtze River Delta conditions, including moderate diurnal heating, variable cloud cover, and light easterly monsoon flow during the plum rain season. These elements position 25°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 46.5% probability, with 24°C and 26°C as close alternatives, as traders assess sensitivity to any increase in showers or overcast skies that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C versus clearer intervals permitting slight warming. Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration highlights this uncertainty range, while the market's tight clustering reflects aggregated trader consensus on near-term model consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$49,262Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts for Shanghai on June 15 indicate a daily maximum near 25°C under typical early-summer Yangtze River Delta conditions, including moderate diurnal heating, variable cloud cover, and light easterly monsoon flow during the plum rain season. These elements position 25°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 46.5% probability, with 24°C and 26°C as close alternatives, as traders assess sensitivity to any increase in showers or overcast skies that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C versus clearer intervals permitting slight warming. Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration highlights this uncertainty range, while the market's tight clustering reflects aggregated trader consensus on near-term model consensus ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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