**Recent forecasts from sources like the Times of India and Weather25 indicate potential daily highs near 43°C for Lucknow on June 15, driven by typical pre-monsoon clear skies, subsidence, and intense solar heating over the Gangetic plains.** However, trader consensus heavily favors an official maximum of 38°C (53.5% implied probability), followed by 39°C and 37°C, suggesting expectations that actual station readings from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) will fall short of model peaks due to factors like haze, variable winds, or localized moderation. Historical June averages hover around 39–40°C, with high variability from short-term atmospheric conditions. Upcoming IMD daily reports and real-time observations will likely determine resolution, as minor shifts in observed peaks can swing probabilities between the clustered 37–39°C outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 15 de junio?
38°C 54%
39°C 21%
37°C 20%
36°C 4%
$19,521 Vol.
$19,521 Vol.
34°C o menos
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
4%
37°C
20%
38°C
54%
39°C
21%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C o más
<1%
38°C 54%
39°C 21%
37°C 20%
36°C 4%
$19,521 Vol.
$19,521 Vol.
34°C o menos
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
4%
37°C
20%
38°C
54%
39°C
21%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from sources like the Times of India and Weather25 indicate potential daily highs near 43°C for Lucknow on June 15, driven by typical pre-monsoon clear skies, subsidence, and intense solar heating over the Gangetic plains.** However, trader consensus heavily favors an official maximum of 38°C (53.5% implied probability), followed by 39°C and 37°C, suggesting expectations that actual station readings from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) will fall short of model peaks due to factors like haze, variable winds, or localized moderation. Historical June averages hover around 39–40°C, with high variability from short-term atmospheric conditions. Upcoming IMD daily reports and real-time observations will likely determine resolution, as minor shifts in observed peaks can swing probabilities between the clustered 37–39°C outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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