Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs favor a Dallas high temperature in the low-to-mid 80s°F on June 15, driven by moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited boundary-layer mixing that caps peak surface heating near the seasonal norm. The closely matched market odds between 82–85°F reflect uncertainty in exact timing of any diurnal breaks in cloudiness or subtle shifts in dewpoint advection, which can swing the daily maximum by 2–3°F. Stronger afternoon insolation or drier air would support the upper end of that range, while increased moisture or earlier convective development would favor the lower bins. Updated short-range model guidance later today will further refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on June 15?
84-85°F 30%
82-83°F 30%
80-81°F 19%
86-87°F 7.0%
$10,659 Vol.
$10,659 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 30%
82-83°F 30%
80-81°F 19%
86-87°F 7.0%
$10,659 Vol.
$10,659 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs favor a Dallas high temperature in the low-to-mid 80s°F on June 15, driven by moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited boundary-layer mixing that caps peak surface heating near the seasonal norm. The closely matched market odds between 82–85°F reflect uncertainty in exact timing of any diurnal breaks in cloudiness or subtle shifts in dewpoint advection, which can swing the daily maximum by 2–3°F. Stronger afternoon insolation or drier air would support the upper end of that range, while increased moisture or earlier convective development would favor the lower bins. Updated short-range model guidance later today will further refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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