Recent forecasts from NOAA and model consensus place Chicago’s June 15 high in the mid-70s, with ensembles showing modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and northwest flow. The near-even split between 74–75 °F and 76–77 °F reflects small differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; earlier or thicker cloud cover would cap temperatures near the lower bin while clearer conditions or a brief southerly wind shift could push readings one bin higher. Historical June 15 normals near 80 °F underscore that today’s cooler air mass is the dominant driver, keeping higher bins at low implied probabilities. Updated NWS and rapid-update model runs through midday will be the next key inputs for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on June 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 15?
74-75°F 44%
76-77°F 35%
78-79°F 13%
72-73 °F 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
65°F o menos
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73 °F
10%
74-75°F
44%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 44%
76-77°F 35%
78-79°F 13%
72-73 °F 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
65°F o menos
$352 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$305 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$172 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,051 Vol.
1%
72-73 °F
$942 Vol.
10%
74-75°F
$775 Vol.
44%
76-77°F
$594 Vol.
35%
78-79°F
$477 Vol.
13%
80-81°F
$841 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$667 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$987 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and model consensus place Chicago’s June 15 high in the mid-70s, with ensembles showing modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and northwest flow. The near-even split between 74–75 °F and 76–77 °F reflects small differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; earlier or thicker cloud cover would cap temperatures near the lower bin while clearer conditions or a brief southerly wind shift could push readings one bin higher. Historical June 15 normals near 80 °F underscore that today’s cooler air mass is the dominant driver, keeping higher bins at low implied probabilities. Updated NWS and rapid-update model runs through midday will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$6,683Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and model consensus place Chicago’s June 15 high in the mid-70s, with ensembles showing modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and northwest flow. The near-even split between 74–75 °F and 76–77 °F reflects small differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; earlier or thicker cloud cover would cap temperatures near the lower bin while clearer conditions or a brief southerly wind shift could push readings one bin higher. Historical June 15 normals near 80 °F underscore that today’s cooler air mass is the dominant driver, keeping higher bins at low implied probabilities. Updated NWS and rapid-update model runs through midday will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,683Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from NOAA and model consensus place Chicago’s June 15 high in the mid-70s, with ensembles showing modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and northwest flow. The near-even split between 74–75 °F and 76–77 °F reflects small differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; earlier or thicker cloud cover would cap temperatures near the lower bin while clearer conditions or a brief southerly wind shift could push readings one bin higher. Historical June 15 normals near 80 °F underscore that today’s cooler air mass is the dominant driver, keeping higher bins at low implied probabilities. Updated NWS and rapid-update model runs through midday will be the next key inputs for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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