USMNT holds a slim 48% implied probability as trader consensus favorite in their FIFA World Cup 2026 Group D opener against Paraguay at SoFi Stadium, driven by home advantage, superior FIFA ranking (around 11th vs. Paraguay's 40th), and recent head-to-head success including a 2-1 friendly win in November 2025. Paraguay's competitive 26% draw and win odds reflect their gritty CONMEBOL qualifying path to the tournament, but recent injury setbacks—star midfielder Miguel Almirón sidelined until early June with a knee issue and Diego Gómez recovering from a late-April knee scare—have tempered expectations for their attack. No major USMNT absences among starters, with roster reveal set for May 26, keep the matchup closely contested amid both teams' solid recent form.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...USMNT holds a slim 48% implied probability as trader consensus favorite in their FIFA World Cup 2026 Group D opener against Paraguay at SoFi Stadium, driven by home advantage, superior FIFA ranking (around 11th vs. Paraguay's 40th), and recent head-to-head success including a 2-1 friendly win in November 2025. Paraguay's competitive 26% draw and win odds reflect their gritty CONMEBOL qualifying path to the tournament, but recent injury setbacks—star midfielder Miguel Almirón sidelined until early June with a knee issue and Diego Gómez recovering from a late-April knee scare—have tempered expectations for their attack. No major USMNT absences among starters, with roster reveal set for May 26, keep the matchup closely contested amid both teams' solid recent form.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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