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Sports·2026 FIFA World Cup

FIFA World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

icon for FIFA World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)
Sports·2026 FIFA World Cup

FIFA World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

France 23%

Spain 15%

Portugal 10%

Norway 9%

Polymarket
NEW

France 23%

Spain 15%

Portugal 10%

Norway 9%

Polymarket
NEW

France

$90 Vol.

23%

Spain

$128 Vol.

15%

Portugal

$31 Vol.

10%

Norway

$78 Vol.

9%

Brazil

$77 Vol.

9%

Germany

$41 Vol.

8%

Uruguay

$78 Vol.

8%

England

$31 Vol.

7%

Argentina

$36 Vol.

7%

Netherlands

$41 Vol.

7%

Belgium

$31 Vol.

6%

Ecuador

$10 Vol.

3%

Türkiye

$83 Vol.

8%

Morocco

$10 Vol.

2%

Colombia

$10 Vol.

1%

Croatia

$10 Vol.

1%

Iran

$10 Vol.

1%

Paraguay

$10 Vol.

1%

South Africa

$10 Vol.

1%

Switzerland

$10 Vol.

1%

Tunisia

$10 Vol.

1%

United States

$10 Vol.

1%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$10 Vol.

1%

Egypt

$21 Vol.

1%

Ivory Coast

$10 Vol.

1%

Qatar

$10 Vol.

1%

Algeria

$10 Vol.

1%

Canada

$10 Vol.

1%

Haiti

$10 Vol.

1%

Mexico

$10 Vol.

1%

Saudi Arabia

$10 Vol.

1%

Senegal

$10 Vol.

1%

South Korea

$10 Vol.

1%

Sweden

$10 Vol.

1%

Uzbekistan

$10 Vol.

1%

Ghana

$10 Vol.

1%

Jordan

$10 Vol.

1%

Cape Verde

$10 Vol.

1%

Curaçao

$10 Vol.

1%

Czechia

$10 Vol.

1%

Japan

$10 Vol.

1%

Scotland

$10 Vol.

1%

Australia

$10 Vol.

1%

Austria

$10 Vol.

1%

Iraq

$10 Vol.

1%

New Zealand

$10 Vol.

1%

DR Congo

$10 Vol.

1%

Panama

$10 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the nation that records the most total goals through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation who advanced farther in the competition. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation that is listed first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.France leads trader consensus at 22.5% implied probability for top scorer nationality, propelled by Kylian Mbappé's prolific World Cup qualifiers output—including braces in recent matches—and his 2022 Golden Boot triumph with eight goals, amplifying expectations for Les Bleus' attack. Spain trails at 15% on Lamine Yamal's dazzling qualifiers form, with six senior international goals and key assists, underscoring La Roja's youthful firepower. Norway's 9% share stems from Erling Haaland's dominant 16-goal haul, the highest in European qualifiers, securing qualification despite squad limitations. Brazil matches at 9% via Vinícius Júnior's flair amid CONMEBOL depth, while Türkiye's 8.3% rise follows Arda Güler's playoff heroics clinching a spot after 24 years. The clustered leaders reflect balanced dynamics among peak-form stars, varying national strengths, and pre-tournament uncertainties like injuries and group draws.

This market will resolve to the nation that records the most total goals through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation who advanced farther in the competition. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation that is listed first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.
Volume
$1,114
End Date
Aug 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the nation that records the most total goals through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation who advanced farther in the competition. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation that is listed first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.
This market will resolve to the nation that records the most total goals through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation who advanced farther in the competition. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation that is listed first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.France leads trader consensus at 22.5% implied probability for top scorer nationality, propelled by Kylian Mbappé's prolific World Cup qualifiers output—including braces in recent matches—and his 2022 Golden Boot triumph with eight goals, amplifying expectations for Les Bleus' attack. Spain trails at 15% on Lamine Yamal's dazzling qualifiers form, with six senior international goals and key assists, underscoring La Roja's youthful firepower. Norway's 9% share stems from Erling Haaland's dominant 16-goal haul, the highest in European qualifiers, securing qualification despite squad limitations. Brazil matches at 9% via Vinícius Júnior's flair amid CONMEBOL depth, while Türkiye's 8.3% rise follows Arda Güler's playoff heroics clinching a spot after 24 years. The clustered leaders reflect balanced dynamics among peak-form stars, varying national strengths, and pre-tournament uncertainties like injuries and group draws.

This market will resolve to the nation that records the most total goals through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation who advanced farther in the competition. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation that is listed first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.
Volume
$1,114
End Date
Aug 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the nation that records the most total goals through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation who advanced farther in the competition. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation that is listed first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"FIFA World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "France" at 23%, followed by "Spain" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"FIFA World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "FIFA World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FIFA World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)" is "France" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Spain" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FIFA World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.