Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 76.5% implied probability to win Group C, driven by their five-time champion pedigree, unmatched squad depth with stars like Vinicius Jr. and emerging talent Endrick, and dominant CONMEBOL qualifiers featuring top attacking metrics. Morocco's 17.5% reflects their 2022 semifinal breakthrough, elite counter-attacking efficiency, and fewest goals conceded in African qualifiers, positioning them as realistic challengers in the June 13 opener at MetLife Stadium. Scotland garners 5.1% for physical resilience, set-piece threat from UEFA playoffs, and 1998 nostalgia, while Haiti's 1.2% underscores their historic debut as CONCACAF underdogs lacking firepower against heavyweights. The April 12 group draw and early training camp reports have solidified this hierarchy absent major injuries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBrazil 77%
Morocco 18%
Scotland 5.2%
Haiti 1.0%
$214,744 Vol.
$214,744 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
18%
Scotland
5%
Haiti
1%
Brazil 77%
Morocco 18%
Scotland 5.2%
Haiti 1.0%
$214,744 Vol.
$214,744 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
18%
Scotland
5%
Haiti
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 76.5% implied probability to win Group C, driven by their five-time champion pedigree, unmatched squad depth with stars like Vinicius Jr. and emerging talent Endrick, and dominant CONMEBOL qualifiers featuring top attacking metrics. Morocco's 17.5% reflects their 2022 semifinal breakthrough, elite counter-attacking efficiency, and fewest goals conceded in African qualifiers, positioning them as realistic challengers in the June 13 opener at MetLife Stadium. Scotland garners 5.1% for physical resilience, set-piece threat from UEFA playoffs, and 1998 nostalgia, while Haiti's 1.2% underscores their historic debut as CONCACAF underdogs lacking firepower against heavyweights. The April 12 group draw and early training camp reports have solidified this hierarchy absent major injuries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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