With qualification wrapped up on March 31 after UEFA playoffs where Bosnia stunned Italy on penalties, Sweden, Turkey, and Czechia joined the 48-team field, traders eye paths to the July 19 final at MetLife Stadium. European powerhouses Spain and France lead sentiment via dominant qualifier runs and Nations League success, while Brazil and Argentina leverage South American depth despite grueling rounds. Hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico gain from home crowds across 16 North American venues and favorable groups—USA with Paraguay, Australia, Turkey; Canada facing Switzerland, Qatar, Bosnia. No major injuries or friendlies shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, leaving focus on group stage momentum from June 11 openers and knockout viability in the expanded round of 32 format.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2026 FIFA World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
2026 FIFA World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
Spain
37%
France
36%
England
32%
Brazil
23%
Argentina
23%
South Korea
20%
Canada
20%
Germany
18%
Netherlands
17%
Portugal
15%
Austria
14%
Belgium
12%
Croatia
11%
Sweden
9%
Turkiye
8%
Scotland
8%
Morocco
7%
Switzerland
7%
Norway
7%
USA
6%
Iraq
6%
Egypt
6%
Colombia
6%
Japan
5%
Uruguay
5%
Haiti
5%
South Africa
5%
Qatar
5%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
5%
Australia
5%
Cape Verde
5%
Czechia
5%
New Zealand
5%
Senegal
5%
Mexico
5%
Jordan
4%
Paraguay
4%
Ecuador
3%
Uzbekistan
2%
Panama
2%
Iran
2%
Ghana
2%
Tunisia
2%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Algeria
2%
DR Congo
1%
Curacao
1%
Ivory Coast
1%
$1,318 Vol.
Spain
37%
France
36%
England
32%
Brazil
23%
Argentina
23%
South Korea
20%
Canada
20%
Germany
18%
Netherlands
17%
Portugal
15%
Austria
14%
Belgium
12%
Croatia
11%
Sweden
9%
Turkiye
8%
Scotland
8%
Morocco
7%
Switzerland
7%
Norway
7%
USA
6%
Iraq
6%
Egypt
6%
Colombia
6%
Japan
5%
Uruguay
5%
Haiti
5%
South Africa
5%
Qatar
5%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
5%
Australia
5%
Cape Verde
5%
Czechia
5%
New Zealand
5%
Senegal
5%
Mexico
5%
Jordan
4%
Paraguay
4%
Ecuador
3%
Uzbekistan
2%
Panama
2%
Iran
2%
Ghana
2%
Tunisia
2%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Algeria
2%
DR Congo
1%
Curacao
1%
Ivory Coast
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With qualification wrapped up on March 31 after UEFA playoffs where Bosnia stunned Italy on penalties, Sweden, Turkey, and Czechia joined the 48-team field, traders eye paths to the July 19 final at MetLife Stadium. European powerhouses Spain and France lead sentiment via dominant qualifier runs and Nations League success, while Brazil and Argentina leverage South American depth despite grueling rounds. Hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico gain from home crowds across 16 North American venues and favorable groups—USA with Paraguay, Australia, Turkey; Canada facing Switzerland, Qatar, Bosnia. No major injuries or friendlies shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, leaving focus on group stage momentum from June 11 openers and knockout viability in the expanded round of 32 format.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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