Geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran, exacerbated by recent conflicts and visa denials, have fueled uncertainty around Iran's participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup despite their on-pitch qualification via AFC playoffs. Iranian officials were turned back at Toronto airport yesterday, missing a key pre-tournament FIFA Congress in Vancouver, while warm-up friendlies were cancelled three days ago amid security concerns. FIFA President Gianni Infantino confirmed last week that Iran will play their group stage matches in the US as scheduled—against New Zealand in Los Angeles and others—rejecting Tehran's relocation request to Mexico. US Secretary Rubio affirmed players without IRGC ties are welcome, countering replacement rumors like Italy, but travel hurdles persist as the June kickoff nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$285,125 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
April 30
<1%
$285,125 Vol.
April 30
$83,206 Vol.
<1%
Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before April 30, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran, exacerbated by recent conflicts and visa denials, have fueled uncertainty around Iran's participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup despite their on-pitch qualification via AFC playoffs. Iranian officials were turned back at Toronto airport yesterday, missing a key pre-tournament FIFA Congress in Vancouver, while warm-up friendlies were cancelled three days ago amid security concerns. FIFA President Gianni Infantino confirmed last week that Iran will play their group stage matches in the US as scheduled—against New Zealand in Los Angeles and others—rejecting Tehran's relocation request to Mexico. US Secretary Rubio affirmed players without IRGC ties are welcome, countering replacement rumors like Italy, but travel hurdles persist as the June kickoff nears.
Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before April 30, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before April 30, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Volume
$285,125End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 3:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before April 30, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran, exacerbated by recent conflicts and visa denials, have fueled uncertainty around Iran's participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup despite their on-pitch qualification via AFC playoffs. Iranian officials were turned back at Toronto airport yesterday, missing a key pre-tournament FIFA Congress in Vancouver, while warm-up friendlies were cancelled three days ago amid security concerns. FIFA President Gianni Infantino confirmed last week that Iran will play their group stage matches in the US as scheduled—against New Zealand in Los Angeles and others—rejecting Tehran's relocation request to Mexico. US Secretary Rubio affirmed players without IRGC ties are welcome, countering replacement rumors like Italy, but travel hurdles persist as the June kickoff nears.
Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before April 30, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before April 30, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$285,125End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 3:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran, exacerbated by recent conflicts and visa denials, have fueled uncertainty around Iran's participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup despite their on-pitch qualification via AFC playoffs. Iranian officials were turned back at Toronto airport yesterday, missing a key pre-tournament FIFA Congress in Vancouver, while warm-up friendlies were cancelled three days ago amid security concerns. FIFA President Gianni Infantino confirmed last week that Iran will play their group stage matches in the US as scheduled—against New Zealand in Los Angeles and others—rejecting Tehran's relocation request to Mexico. US Secretary Rubio affirmed players without IRGC ties are welcome, countering replacement rumors like Italy, but travel hurdles persist as the June kickoff nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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