Trader consensus prices Europe at 72.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy, driven by UEFA's 16 qualifiers boasting unmatched depth among top-ranked sides like Spain, France, England, Germany, Netherlands, and recent playoff winners Sweden, Turkey, Czech Republic, and Bosnia & Herzegovina—reflecting their superior recent form in Nations League and qualifiers that wrapped March 31. South America's 20.5% stems from CONMEBOL powerhouses Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, and Ecuador in a six-team contingent with five World Cup titles historically, though aging stars temper expectations. Asia, Africa (each 3.3%), North America (2.3%), and Oceania (0.3%) trail due to no prior continental champions, debutants like Cape Verde, Curacao, Jordan, and Uzbekistan, and tougher group stage paths post-December draw, with recent venue heat preparations and expanded yellow card amnesty unlikely to shift the balance significantly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEurope 73%
South America 21%
Asia 3.3%
Africa 3.3%
$1,926,350 Vol.
$1,926,350 Vol.
Europe
73%
South America
21%
Asia
3%
Africa
3%
North America
2%
Oceania
<1%
Europe 73%
South America 21%
Asia 3.3%
Africa 3.3%
$1,926,350 Vol.
$1,926,350 Vol.
Europe
$113,819 Vol.
73%
South America
$183,492 Vol.
21%
Asia
$224,934 Vol.
3%
Africa
$963,815 Vol.
3%
North America
$200,528 Vol.
2%
Oceania
$239,763 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Europe at 72.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy, driven by UEFA's 16 qualifiers boasting unmatched depth among top-ranked sides like Spain, France, England, Germany, Netherlands, and recent playoff winners Sweden, Turkey, Czech Republic, and Bosnia & Herzegovina—reflecting their superior recent form in Nations League and qualifiers that wrapped March 31. South America's 20.5% stems from CONMEBOL powerhouses Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, and Ecuador in a six-team contingent with five World Cup titles historically, though aging stars temper expectations. Asia, Africa (each 3.3%), North America (2.3%), and Oceania (0.3%) trail due to no prior continental champions, debutants like Cape Verde, Curacao, Jordan, and Uzbekistan, and tougher group stage paths post-December draw, with recent venue heat preparations and expanded yellow card amnesty unlikely to shift the balance significantly.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Volume
$1,926,350Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Europe at 72.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy, driven by UEFA's 16 qualifiers boasting unmatched depth among top-ranked sides like Spain, France, England, Germany, Netherlands, and recent playoff winners Sweden, Turkey, Czech Republic, and Bosnia & Herzegovina—reflecting their superior recent form in Nations League and qualifiers that wrapped March 31. South America's 20.5% stems from CONMEBOL powerhouses Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, and Ecuador in a six-team contingent with five World Cup titles historically, though aging stars temper expectations. Asia, Africa (each 3.3%), North America (2.3%), and Oceania (0.3%) trail due to no prior continental champions, debutants like Cape Verde, Curacao, Jordan, and Uzbekistan, and tougher group stage paths post-December draw, with recent venue heat preparations and expanded yellow card amnesty unlikely to shift the balance significantly.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,926,350Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Europe at 72.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy, driven by UEFA's 16 qualifiers boasting unmatched depth among top-ranked sides like Spain, France, England, Germany, Netherlands, and recent playoff winners Sweden, Turkey, Czech Republic, and Bosnia & Herzegovina—reflecting their superior recent form in Nations League and qualifiers that wrapped March 31. South America's 20.5% stems from CONMEBOL powerhouses Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, and Ecuador in a six-team contingent with five World Cup titles historically, though aging stars temper expectations. Asia, Africa (each 3.3%), North America (2.3%), and Oceania (0.3%) trail due to no prior continental champions, debutants like Cape Verde, Curacao, Jordan, and Uzbekistan, and tougher group stage paths post-December draw, with recent venue heat preparations and expanded yellow card amnesty unlikely to shift the balance significantly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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