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Sports·FIFA World Cup

2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer

icon for 2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer
Sports·FIFA World Cup

2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer

Kylian Mbappe 20%

Michael Olise 17.7%

Harry Kane 16%

Erling Haaland 12%

Polymarket

$12,398 Vol.

Kylian Mbappe 20%

Michael Olise 17.7%

Harry Kane 16%

Erling Haaland 12%

Polymarket

$12,398 Vol.

Kylian Mbappe

$2,769 Vol.

20%

Michael Olise

$330 Vol.

10%

Harry Kane

$516 Vol.

16%

Erling Haaland

$419 Vol.

12%

Lionel Messi

$625 Vol.

11%

Jude Bellingham

$136 Vol.

10%

Igor Thiago

$123 Vol.

9%

Mikel Oyarzabal

$210 Vol.

9%

Bukayo Saka

$34 Vol.

8%

Viktor Gyökeres

$2 Vol.

8%

Depay Memphis

$221 Vol.

8%

Raphinha

$123 Vol.

8%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$1,570 Vol.

8%

Deniz Undav

$59 Vol.

8%

Andrej Kramarić

$2 Vol.

8%

Bradley Barcola

$2 Vol.

8%

Sadio Mane

$2 Vol.

8%

Rafael Leao

$2 Vol.

8%

Luis Javier Suárez

$2 Vol.

8%

Dion Beljo

$9 Vol.

8%

Dani Olmo

$134 Vol.

7%

Mohamed Salah

$108 Vol.

7%

Edin Džeko

$2 Vol.

7%

Vinicius Junior

$183 Vol.

7%

Amad Diallo

$2 Vol.

7%

Marcus Thuram

$2 Vol.

7%

Desire Doue

$2 Vol.

7%

Federico Valverde

$2 Vol.

7%

Lamine Yamal

$691 Vol.

7%

Ferran Torres

$1,974 Vol.

6%

Antoine Semenyo

$2 Vol.

6%

Ivan Perišić

$2 Vol.

5%

Pedri

$2 Vol.

5%

Lautaro Martinez

$52 Vol.

4%

Julian Alvarez

$492 Vol.

4%

Ousmane Dembele

$539 Vol.

4%

Rodrygo

$180 Vol.

4%

Serge Gnabry

$64 Vol.

3%

Heung-Min Son

$34 Vol.

2%

Luis Diaz

$315 Vol.

8%

Noah Okafor

$89 Vol.

1%

Cody Gakpo

$290 Vol.

1%

Scott McTominay

$37 Vol.

1%

Bruno Fernandes

$45 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé holds trader consensus lead at 20% implied probability for 2026 FIFA World Cup golden boot, propelled by 15 Champions League goals despite a hamstring strain last week—initial scans positive for June 11 kickoff recovery. Harry Kane (15.5%) closes in via European Golden Shoe command (52 points from prolific Bayern form), Erling Haaland (12%) rides UEFA qualifier dominance (16 goals securing Norway's spot), and Lionel Messi (10.8%) leverages Argentina's title defense. Michael Olise (10.6%) surges on Bayern's 22-goal season, Jude Bellingham (10.2%) adds Real Madrid versatility; tight clustering stems from leaders' fitness amid rivals' injuries like Lamine Yamal's, plus extended matches in 48-team format favoring sustained scorers from potent attacks.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,398
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé holds trader consensus lead at 20% implied probability for 2026 FIFA World Cup golden boot, propelled by 15 Champions League goals despite a hamstring strain last week—initial scans positive for June 11 kickoff recovery. Harry Kane (15.5%) closes in via European Golden Shoe command (52 points from prolific Bayern form), Erling Haaland (12%) rides UEFA qualifier dominance (16 goals securing Norway's spot), and Lionel Messi (10.8%) leverages Argentina's title defense. Michael Olise (10.6%) surges on Bayern's 22-goal season, Jude Bellingham (10.2%) adds Real Madrid versatility; tight clustering stems from leaders' fitness amid rivals' injuries like Lamine Yamal's, plus extended matches in 48-team format favoring sustained scorers from potent attacks.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,398
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kylian Mbappe" at 20%, followed by "Harry Kane" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer" has generated $12.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer" is "Kylian Mbappe" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Harry Kane" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.