Spain's overwhelming 79.5% implied probability as Group H winner stems from their UEFA Euro 2024 triumph, impeccable World Cup qualifying record, and recent dominant friendlies, including a 5-0 thrashing in mid-April and 3-0 win over Serbia in late March, showcasing depth with stars like Rodri, Lamine Yamal—managing fitness concerns—and Pedri. Uruguay holds 16% as a credible challenger, bolstered by a gritty fourth-place CONMEBOL qualifying finish and draws against England and Algeria in March friendlies, led by Federico Valverde and Darwin Núñez. Saudi Arabia's slim 2.5% reflects upset pedigree from 2022 but recent friendly defeats to Serbia and Egypt, while Cape Verde's 0.1% underscores their debutant status and mixed March results despite historic qualification. Top two advance amid neutral U.S. venues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSpain 80%
Uruguay 16%
Saudi Arabia 2.5%
Cape Verde <1%
$169,203 Vol.
$169,203 Vol.
Jun 27, 2026
Spain
80%
Uruguay
16%
Saudi Arabia
3%
Cape Verde
<1%
Spain 80%
Uruguay 16%
Saudi Arabia 2.5%
Cape Verde <1%
$169,203 Vol.
$169,203 Vol.
Jun 27, 2026
Spain
$14,135 Vol.
80%
Uruguay
$5,872 Vol.
16%
Saudi Arabia
$92,494 Vol.
3%
Cape Verde
$56,702 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's overwhelming 79.5% implied probability as Group H winner stems from their UEFA Euro 2024 triumph, impeccable World Cup qualifying record, and recent dominant friendlies, including a 5-0 thrashing in mid-April and 3-0 win over Serbia in late March, showcasing depth with stars like Rodri, Lamine Yamal—managing fitness concerns—and Pedri. Uruguay holds 16% as a credible challenger, bolstered by a gritty fourth-place CONMEBOL qualifying finish and draws against England and Algeria in March friendlies, led by Federico Valverde and Darwin Núñez. Saudi Arabia's slim 2.5% reflects upset pedigree from 2022 but recent friendly defeats to Serbia and Egypt, while Cape Verde's 0.1% underscores their debutant status and mixed March results despite historic qualification. Top two advance amid neutral U.S. venues.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Volume
$169,203End Date
Jun 27, 2026Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's overwhelming 79.5% implied probability as Group H winner stems from their UEFA Euro 2024 triumph, impeccable World Cup qualifying record, and recent dominant friendlies, including a 5-0 thrashing in mid-April and 3-0 win over Serbia in late March, showcasing depth with stars like Rodri, Lamine Yamal—managing fitness concerns—and Pedri. Uruguay holds 16% as a credible challenger, bolstered by a gritty fourth-place CONMEBOL qualifying finish and draws against England and Algeria in March friendlies, led by Federico Valverde and Darwin Núñez. Saudi Arabia's slim 2.5% reflects upset pedigree from 2022 but recent friendly defeats to Serbia and Egypt, while Cape Verde's 0.1% underscores their debutant status and mixed March results despite historic qualification. Top two advance amid neutral U.S. venues.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$169,203End Date
Jun 27, 2026Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain's overwhelming 79.5% implied probability as Group H winner stems from their UEFA Euro 2024 triumph, impeccable World Cup qualifying record, and recent dominant friendlies, including a 5-0 thrashing in mid-April and 3-0 win over Serbia in late March, showcasing depth with stars like Rodri, Lamine Yamal—managing fitness concerns—and Pedri. Uruguay holds 16% as a credible challenger, bolstered by a gritty fourth-place CONMEBOL qualifying finish and draws against England and Algeria in March friendlies, led by Federico Valverde and Darwin Núñez. Saudi Arabia's slim 2.5% reflects upset pedigree from 2022 but recent friendly defeats to Serbia and Egypt, while Cape Verde's 0.1% underscores their debutant status and mixed March results despite historic qualification. Top two advance amid neutral U.S. venues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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