Trader consensus prices Belgium at 67.5% implied probability to win Group G, driven by their No. 9 FIFA ranking, dominant UEFA qualifiers, and reloaded "Golden Generation 2.0" featuring midfield control from De Bruyne, Lukaku's finishing, and wing threats like Doku and Openda, positioning them to handle the June 15 Seattle opener against Egypt. Egypt holds 18% on their stingiest CAF qualifying defense, explosive counters via Salah and Marmoush, and recent Spokane camp cohesion showing sharp transitions. Iran's 6.3% reflects disciplined AFC playoff steel with Taremi and Azmoun but tempered by U.S. tensions questioning participation, per April reports. New Zealand trails at 2% despite OFC heroics, facing a steep talent chasm as squads finalize Tucson and San Diego preparations with no major injury news.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBelgium 68%
Egypt 18%
Iran 6.3%
New Zealand 1.5%
$64,283 Vol.
$64,283 Vol.
Belgium
68%
Egypt
18%
Iran
6%
New Zealand
2%
Belgium 68%
Egypt 18%
Iran 6.3%
New Zealand 1.5%
$64,283 Vol.
$64,283 Vol.
Belgium
68%
Egypt
18%
Iran
6%
New Zealand
2%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 6:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Belgium at 67.5% implied probability to win Group G, driven by their No. 9 FIFA ranking, dominant UEFA qualifiers, and reloaded "Golden Generation 2.0" featuring midfield control from De Bruyne, Lukaku's finishing, and wing threats like Doku and Openda, positioning them to handle the June 15 Seattle opener against Egypt. Egypt holds 18% on their stingiest CAF qualifying defense, explosive counters via Salah and Marmoush, and recent Spokane camp cohesion showing sharp transitions. Iran's 6.3% reflects disciplined AFC playoff steel with Taremi and Azmoun but tempered by U.S. tensions questioning participation, per April reports. New Zealand trails at 2% despite OFC heroics, facing a steep talent chasm as squads finalize Tucson and San Diego preparations with no major injury news.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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