Canada's 59.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from their home advantage at BC Place in Vancouver as World Cup co-hosts, bolstered by a superior FIFA ranking (30th vs. Qatar's 55th) and a 2-0 friendly win over Qatar in September 2022. Recent April injuries to defenders Derek Cornelius (muscle) and Moïse Bombito (fractured leg recovery) alongside forward Cyle Larin's hamstring issue have raised concerns for Jesse Marsch's squad, yet markets hold firm on Canada's attacking depth with Alphonso Davies nearing full fitness and Jonathan David in form. Qatar's post-2022 World Cup struggles and lack of standout recent results position them at 19.5%, with a 25.5% draw chance reflecting potential low-scoring Group B caution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Canada wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Canada wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Canada's 59.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from their home advantage at BC Place in Vancouver as World Cup co-hosts, bolstered by a superior FIFA ranking (30th vs. Qatar's 55th) and a 2-0 friendly win over Qatar in September 2022. Recent April injuries to defenders Derek Cornelius (muscle) and Moïse Bombito (fractured leg recovery) alongside forward Cyle Larin's hamstring issue have raised concerns for Jesse Marsch's squad, yet markets hold firm on Canada's attacking depth with Alphonso Davies nearing full fitness and Jonathan David in form. Qatar's post-2022 World Cup struggles and lack of standout recent results position them at 19.5%, with a 25.5% draw chance reflecting potential low-scoring Group B caution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions