Finland's Linda Lampenius and Peter Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" dominate as the clear frontrunner to win Eurovision 2026 at around 42% implied probability across bookmakers, positioning Greece's Akylas and "Ferto" as the top trader consensus for second place at 38.5% on Polymarket following standout second rehearsals that showcased powerful staging and vocal delivery. Portugal's Bandidos do Cante ("Rosa"), Romania's Alexandra, Moldova's Satoshi ("Viva, Moldova!"), and Croatia's LELEK ("Andromeda") cluster tightly at 25-27%, buoyed by strong semi-final 1 press rehearsals and televote potential amid Balkan bloc voting dynamics. Recent completion of all rehearsals has sharpened focus on jury-televote splits, with semi-final 1 qualifiers on May 14 and the grand final May 18 as key catalysts that could shift podium trajectories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEurovision 2nd Place 2026
Eurovision 2nd Place 2026
Greece 47%
Finland 29%
Ukraine 23.1%
Romania 22%

Greece
29%

Finland
29%

Ukraine
18%

Romania
22%

Israel
21%

Germany
19%

Australia
16%

France
13%

Sweden
11%

Poland
10%

Denmark
9%

Austria
9%

Belgium
8%

Moldova
8%

Cyprus
8%

Italy
5%

Croatia
5%

Bulgaria
3%

Latvia
3%

Norway
3%

Czechia
3%

Malta
3%

Serbia
3%

Luxembourg
2%

Albania
2%

United Kingdom
2%

Estonia
1%

Switzerland
1%

San Marino
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Georgia
1%

Lithuania
1%

Montenegro
1%

Armenia
1%

Portugal
<1%
Greece 47%
Finland 29%
Ukraine 23.1%
Romania 22%

Greece
29%

Finland
29%

Ukraine
18%

Romania
22%

Israel
21%

Germany
19%

Australia
16%

France
13%

Sweden
11%

Poland
10%

Denmark
9%

Austria
9%

Belgium
8%

Moldova
8%

Cyprus
8%

Italy
5%

Croatia
5%

Bulgaria
3%

Latvia
3%

Norway
3%

Czechia
3%

Malta
3%

Serbia
3%

Luxembourg
2%

Albania
2%

United Kingdom
2%

Estonia
1%

Switzerland
1%

San Marino
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Georgia
1%

Lithuania
1%

Montenegro
1%

Armenia
1%

Portugal
<1%
If no second place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no second place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Peter Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" dominate as the clear frontrunner to win Eurovision 2026 at around 42% implied probability across bookmakers, positioning Greece's Akylas and "Ferto" as the top trader consensus for second place at 38.5% on Polymarket following standout second rehearsals that showcased powerful staging and vocal delivery. Portugal's Bandidos do Cante ("Rosa"), Romania's Alexandra, Moldova's Satoshi ("Viva, Moldova!"), and Croatia's LELEK ("Andromeda") cluster tightly at 25-27%, buoyed by strong semi-final 1 press rehearsals and televote potential amid Balkan bloc voting dynamics. Recent completion of all rehearsals has sharpened focus on jury-televote splits, with semi-final 1 qualifiers on May 14 and the grand final May 18 as key catalysts that could shift podium trajectories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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