Recent energy price surges from the Middle East conflict have lifted Canada's headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026 from 2.4% in March, with transportation costs rising sharply, though core measures held near 2.1%. The Bank of Canada's April Monetary Policy Report revised its 2026 inflation projection upward by 0.3 percentage points due to gasoline and oil effects, while projecting a return toward the 2% target by 2027 amid sub-trend growth and tariff adjustments. Subdued economic expansion, stable core inflation, and the BoC's hold at neutral policy rates around 2.25% create competing pressures that keep market-implied odds clustered across the 1.5–3.9% ranges, with resolution hinging on whether energy-driven headline gains persist or fade into year-end data releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCanada Annual Inflation 2026
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 46.9%
3.5-3.9% 33.7%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
1.0–1.4% 5.9%
$16,471 Vol.
$16,471 Vol.
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
33%
1.0–1.4%
6%
1.5–1.9%
41%
2.0–2.4%
20%
2.5–2.9%
31%
3.0-3.4%
31%
3.5-3.9%
34%
4.0%+
1%
2.5–2.9% 46.9%
3.5-3.9% 33.7%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
1.0–1.4% 5.9%
$16,471 Vol.
$16,471 Vol.
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
$339 Vol.
33%
1.0–1.4%
$360 Vol.
6%
1.5–1.9%
$656 Vol.
41%
2.0–2.4%
$468 Vol.
20%
2.5–2.9%
$502 Vol.
31%
3.0-3.4%
$13,465 Vol.
31%
3.5-3.9%
$287 Vol.
34%
4.0%+
$395 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent energy price surges from the Middle East conflict have lifted Canada's headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026 from 2.4% in March, with transportation costs rising sharply, though core measures held near 2.1%. The Bank of Canada's April Monetary Policy Report revised its 2026 inflation projection upward by 0.3 percentage points due to gasoline and oil effects, while projecting a return toward the 2% target by 2027 amid sub-trend growth and tariff adjustments. Subdued economic expansion, stable core inflation, and the BoC's hold at neutral policy rates around 2.25% create competing pressures that keep market-implied odds clustered across the 1.5–3.9% ranges, with resolution hinging on whether energy-driven headline gains persist or fade into year-end data releases.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volume
$16,471End Date
Jan 18, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent energy price surges from the Middle East conflict have lifted Canada's headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026 from 2.4% in March, with transportation costs rising sharply, though core measures held near 2.1%. The Bank of Canada's April Monetary Policy Report revised its 2026 inflation projection upward by 0.3 percentage points due to gasoline and oil effects, while projecting a return toward the 2% target by 2027 amid sub-trend growth and tariff adjustments. Subdued economic expansion, stable core inflation, and the BoC's hold at neutral policy rates around 2.25% create competing pressures that keep market-implied odds clustered across the 1.5–3.9% ranges, with resolution hinging on whether energy-driven headline gains persist or fade into year-end data releases.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Volume
$16,471End Date
Jan 18, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price surges from the Middle East conflict have lifted Canada's headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026 from 2.4% in March, with transportation costs rising sharply, though core measures held near 2.1%. The Bank of Canada's April Monetary Policy Report revised its 2026 inflation projection upward by 0.3 percentage points due to gasoline and oil effects, while projecting a return toward the 2% target by 2027 amid sub-trend growth and tariff adjustments. Subdued economic expansion, stable core inflation, and the BoC's hold at neutral policy rates around 2.25% create competing pressures that keep market-implied odds clustered across the 1.5–3.9% ranges, with resolution hinging on whether energy-driven headline gains persist or fade into year-end data releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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