Trader sentiment on Eurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 remains tightly contested, with the 2.8-3.0% bin edging out 1.0-1.2% at 46.2% versus 44.6% implied probabilities, reflecting divergent views on inflation persistence amid recent energy price surges. March 2026 headline inflation accelerated to 2.6%—revised up from a 2.5% flash—driven by higher energy costs linked to geopolitical tensions, pushing traders toward elevated bins despite ECB staff projections averaging 2.6% for the year. Counterbalancing this, some position for disinflation resumption via ECB rate cuts, with consumer expectations spiking to 4.0% in March signaling upside risks. Key differentiator: today's April flash HICP release and May ECB meeting, which could sway the balance on monetary policy trajectory versus wage and commodity dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEurozone Annual Inflation 2026
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
2.8-3.0% 44.3%
1.3–1.5% 37.2%
2.5–2.7% 14.3%
<1.0% 7.6%
$10,161 Vol.
$10,161 Vol.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
18%
1.0–1.2%
43%
1.3–1.5%
37%
1.6–1.8%
40%
1.9–2.1%
3%
2.2–2.4%
40%
2.5–2.7%
14%
2.8-3.0%
44%
3.1%+
41%
2.8-3.0% 44.3%
1.3–1.5% 37.2%
2.5–2.7% 14.3%
<1.0% 7.6%
$10,161 Vol.
$10,161 Vol.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
$685 Vol.
18%
1.0–1.2%
$714 Vol.
43%
1.3–1.5%
$729 Vol.
37%
1.6–1.8%
$712 Vol.
40%
1.9–2.1%
$2,760 Vol.
3%
2.2–2.4%
$832 Vol.
40%
2.5–2.7%
$1,292 Vol.
14%
2.8-3.0%
$630 Vol.
44%
3.1%+
$1,998 Vol.
41%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlTrader sentiment on Eurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 remains tightly contested, with the 2.8-3.0% bin edging out 1.0-1.2% at 46.2% versus 44.6% implied probabilities, reflecting divergent views on inflation persistence amid recent energy price surges. March 2026 headline inflation accelerated to 2.6%—revised up from a 2.5% flash—driven by higher energy costs linked to geopolitical tensions, pushing traders toward elevated bins despite ECB staff projections averaging 2.6% for the year. Counterbalancing this, some position for disinflation resumption via ECB rate cuts, with consumer expectations spiking to 4.0% in March signaling upside risks. Key differentiator: today's April flash HICP release and May ECB meeting, which could sway the balance on monetary policy trajectory versus wage and commodity dynamics.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$10,161End Date
Jan 19, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlTrader sentiment on Eurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 remains tightly contested, with the 2.8-3.0% bin edging out 1.0-1.2% at 46.2% versus 44.6% implied probabilities, reflecting divergent views on inflation persistence amid recent energy price surges. March 2026 headline inflation accelerated to 2.6%—revised up from a 2.5% flash—driven by higher energy costs linked to geopolitical tensions, pushing traders toward elevated bins despite ECB staff projections averaging 2.6% for the year. Counterbalancing this, some position for disinflation resumption via ECB rate cuts, with consumer expectations spiking to 4.0% in March signaling upside risks. Key differentiator: today's April flash HICP release and May ECB meeting, which could sway the balance on monetary policy trajectory versus wage and commodity dynamics.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Volume
$10,161End Date
Jan 19, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Eurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 remains tightly contested, with the 2.8-3.0% bin edging out 1.0-1.2% at 46.2% versus 44.6% implied probabilities, reflecting divergent views on inflation persistence amid recent energy price surges. March 2026 headline inflation accelerated to 2.6%—revised up from a 2.5% flash—driven by higher energy costs linked to geopolitical tensions, pushing traders toward elevated bins despite ECB staff projections averaging 2.6% for the year. Counterbalancing this, some position for disinflation resumption via ECB rate cuts, with consumer expectations spiking to 4.0% in March signaling upside risks. Key differentiator: today's April flash HICP release and May ECB meeting, which could sway the balance on monetary policy trajectory versus wage and commodity dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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