Recent monthly inflation prints in Argentina have decelerated to 2.1% m/m in May 2026 from 2.6% in April, supporting ongoing disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal austerity and monetary tightening, even as the year-over-year rate edged to 33.6%. Analyst consensus from central bank surveys and institutions such as the IMF points to a full-year 2026 rate near 30%, with revisions reflecting lingering inertia and external pressures including prior oil-price shocks. Trader sentiment remains split, with the 30.0–34.9% bracket leading at 33.4% implied probability while the sub-20% outcome commands 30.1%, underscoring uncertainty over whether monthly momentum will deliver a sharper decline or whether relative-price adjustments and peso-band dynamics will sustain readings near current levels through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<20% 49.3%
30.0-34.9% 36.2%
20-24.9% 11.3%
35–39.9% 10.9%
$10,727 Vol.
$10,727 Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
<20%
30%
20-24.9%
11%
25-29.9%
10%
30.0-34.9%
33%
35–39.9%
11%
40-44.9%
6%
45%+
6%
<20% 49.3%
30.0-34.9% 36.2%
20-24.9% 11.3%
35–39.9% 10.9%
$10,727 Vol.
$10,727 Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
<20%
$2,719 Vol.
30%
20-24.9%
$1,466 Vol.
11%
25-29.9%
$1,696 Vol.
10%
30.0-34.9%
$1,211 Vol.
33%
35–39.9%
$1,363 Vol.
11%
40-44.9%
$1,077 Vol.
6%
45%+
$1,194 Vol.
6%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent monthly inflation prints in Argentina have decelerated to 2.1% m/m in May 2026 from 2.6% in April, supporting ongoing disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal austerity and monetary tightening, even as the year-over-year rate edged to 33.6%. Analyst consensus from central bank surveys and institutions such as the IMF points to a full-year 2026 rate near 30%, with revisions reflecting lingering inertia and external pressures including prior oil-price shocks. Trader sentiment remains split, with the 30.0–34.9% bracket leading at 33.4% implied probability while the sub-20% outcome commands 30.1%, underscoring uncertainty over whether monthly momentum will deliver a sharper decline or whether relative-price adjustments and peso-band dynamics will sustain readings near current levels through year-end.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$10,727End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent monthly inflation prints in Argentina have decelerated to 2.1% m/m in May 2026 from 2.6% in April, supporting ongoing disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal austerity and monetary tightening, even as the year-over-year rate edged to 33.6%. Analyst consensus from central bank surveys and institutions such as the IMF points to a full-year 2026 rate near 30%, with revisions reflecting lingering inertia and external pressures including prior oil-price shocks. Trader sentiment remains split, with the 30.0–34.9% bracket leading at 33.4% implied probability while the sub-20% outcome commands 30.1%, underscoring uncertainty over whether monthly momentum will deliver a sharper decline or whether relative-price adjustments and peso-band dynamics will sustain readings near current levels through year-end.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$10,727End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly inflation prints in Argentina have decelerated to 2.1% m/m in May 2026 from 2.6% in April, supporting ongoing disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal austerity and monetary tightening, even as the year-over-year rate edged to 33.6%. Analyst consensus from central bank surveys and institutions such as the IMF points to a full-year 2026 rate near 30%, with revisions reflecting lingering inertia and external pressures including prior oil-price shocks. Trader sentiment remains split, with the 30.0–34.9% bracket leading at 33.4% implied probability while the sub-20% outcome commands 30.1%, underscoring uncertainty over whether monthly momentum will deliver a sharper decline or whether relative-price adjustments and peso-band dynamics will sustain readings near current levels through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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