President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for the May 14-15 state visit summit with Xi Jinping featured a formal red-carpet welcome and handshake with Vice President Han Zheng, aligning with Chinese diplomatic protocol that prioritizes reserved greetings over physical embraces. Despite Trump's repeated pre-trip jests about receiving a "big, fat hug" from Xi amid bilateral talks on the Iran conflict, trade tariffs, Taiwan tensions, and AI cooperation, traders reflect 90.5% implied probability on "No" due to Xi's consistently formal demeanor, absence of hugs in prior U.S.-China leader summits, and cultural norms favoring handshakes in high-stakes diplomacy. A shift would require an unprecedented spontaneous gesture during Thursday's core meetings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$74,679 Vol.
$74,679 Vol.
15 may 2026
$74,679 Vol.
$74,679 Vol.
15 may 2026
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for the May 14-15 state visit summit with Xi Jinping featured a formal red-carpet welcome and handshake with Vice President Han Zheng, aligning with Chinese diplomatic protocol that prioritizes reserved greetings over physical embraces. Despite Trump's repeated pre-trip jests about receiving a "big, fat hug" from Xi amid bilateral talks on the Iran conflict, trade tariffs, Taiwan tensions, and AI cooperation, traders reflect 90.5% implied probability on "No" due to Xi's consistently formal demeanor, absence of hugs in prior U.S.-China leader summits, and cultural norms favoring handshakes in high-stakes diplomacy. A shift would require an unprecedented spontaneous gesture during Thursday's core meetings.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volumen
$74,679Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for the May 14-15 state visit summit with Xi Jinping featured a formal red-carpet welcome and handshake with Vice President Han Zheng, aligning with Chinese diplomatic protocol that prioritizes reserved greetings over physical embraces. Despite Trump's repeated pre-trip jests about receiving a "big, fat hug" from Xi amid bilateral talks on the Iran conflict, trade tariffs, Taiwan tensions, and AI cooperation, traders reflect 90.5% implied probability on "No" due to Xi's consistently formal demeanor, absence of hugs in prior U.S.-China leader summits, and cultural norms favoring handshakes in high-stakes diplomacy. A shift would require an unprecedented spontaneous gesture during Thursday's core meetings.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Volumen
$74,723Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for the May 14-15 state visit summit with Xi Jinping featured a formal red-carpet welcome and handshake with Vice President Han Zheng, aligning with Chinese diplomatic protocol that prioritizes reserved greetings over physical embraces. Despite Trump's repeated pre-trip jests about receiving a "big, fat hug" from Xi amid bilateral talks on the Iran conflict, trade tariffs, Taiwan tensions, and AI cooperation, traders reflect 90.5% implied probability on "No" due to Xi's consistently formal demeanor, absence of hugs in prior U.S.-China leader summits, and cultural norms favoring handshakes in high-stakes diplomacy. A shift would require an unprecedented spontaneous gesture during Thursday's core meetings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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