Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors President Trump's departure from China on May 15, aligning with the official itinerary for his state visit announced by both the White House and China's Foreign Ministry, spanning May 13-15. Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13 local time for bilateral summit talks with President Xi Jinping, including a state banquet on May 14 and a working lunch on May 15 before scheduled exit. Recent diplomatic preparations, such as advance U.S. aircraft deployments, reinforce adherence to this timeline amid discussions on trade, Iran, and regional stability. This commanding position reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on standard protocol for high-level diplomacy, though unforeseen extensions from prolonged negotiations, health events, or logistical issues could shift odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhen will Trump leave China?
When will Trump leave China?
May 15 97.8%
May 16 1.2%
May 14 <1%
Después del 18 de mayo <1%
$72,614 Vol.
$72,614 Vol.
20 may 2026
May 14
1%
May 15
98%
May 16
1%
May 17
<1%
May 18
<1%
Después del 18 de mayo
1%
May 15 97.8%
May 16 1.2%
May 14 <1%
Después del 18 de mayo <1%
$72,614 Vol.
$72,614 Vol.
20 may 2026
May 14
$16,980 Vol.
1%
May 15
$14,963 Vol.
98%
May 16
$14,211 Vol.
1%
May 17
$4,775 Vol.
<1%
May 18
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
Después del 18 de mayo
$2,475 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors President Trump's departure from China on May 15, aligning with the official itinerary for his state visit announced by both the White House and China's Foreign Ministry, spanning May 13-15. Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13 local time for bilateral summit talks with President Xi Jinping, including a state banquet on May 14 and a working lunch on May 15 before scheduled exit. Recent diplomatic preparations, such as advance U.S. aircraft deployments, reinforce adherence to this timeline amid discussions on trade, Iran, and regional stability. This commanding position reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on standard protocol for high-level diplomacy, though unforeseen extensions from prolonged negotiations, health events, or logistical issues could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Volumen
$72,614Fecha de finalización
20 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors President Trump's departure from China on May 15, aligning with the official itinerary for his state visit announced by both the White House and China's Foreign Ministry, spanning May 13-15. Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13 local time for bilateral summit talks with President Xi Jinping, including a state banquet on May 14 and a working lunch on May 15 before scheduled exit. Recent diplomatic preparations, such as advance U.S. aircraft deployments, reinforce adherence to this timeline amid discussions on trade, Iran, and regional stability. This commanding position reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on standard protocol for high-level diplomacy, though unforeseen extensions from prolonged negotiations, health events, or logistical issues could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$72,614Fecha de finalización
20 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors President Trump's departure from China on May 15, aligning with the official itinerary for his state visit announced by both the White House and China's Foreign Ministry, spanning May 13-15. Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13 local time for bilateral summit talks with President Xi Jinping, including a state banquet on May 14 and a working lunch on May 15 before scheduled exit. Recent diplomatic preparations, such as advance U.S. aircraft deployments, reinforce adherence to this timeline amid discussions on trade, Iran, and regional stability. This commanding position reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on standard protocol for high-level diplomacy, though unforeseen extensions from prolonged negotiations, health events, or logistical issues could shift odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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