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icon for Cumbre Trump-Xi: ¿Qué anunciará China antes del 22 de mayo?
Política·Cumbre Trump-Xi

Cumbre Trump-Xi: ¿Qué anunciará China antes del 22 de mayo?

icon for Cumbre Trump-Xi: ¿Qué anunciará China antes del 22 de mayo?
Política·Cumbre Trump-Xi

Cumbre Trump-Xi: ¿Qué anunciará China antes del 22 de mayo?

NUEVO

$12,943 Vol.

22 may 2026
Polymarket

$12,943 Vol.

Polymarket

Compra de aviones Boeing

$2,890 Vol.

88%

Compra de soja estadounidense

$1,867 Vol.

71%

Alivio a la exportación de tierras raras

$2,364 Vol.

31%

Participación en las negociaciones con Irán

$2,968 Vol.

16%

Compra de petróleo estadounidense

$2,855 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of at least one Boeing aircraft by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase or order, or has definitively agreed to purchase or order, at least one Boeing aircraft. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase or order announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the aircraft is delivered. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of U.S. soybeans by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase, or has definitively agreed to purchase, U.S. soybeans. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for trade cooperation, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the soybeans are delivered. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces rare earth export relief for the United States between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Rare earth export relief includes any reduction, removal, or suspension of Chinese export controls or export restrictions affecting the export of rare earth elements, minerals, magnets, or related products to the United States. The extension of an existing Chinese commitment to allow exports of, or suspend export controls on, rare-earth materials to the United States (e.g. the rare earth export deal reached by the United States and China in October 2025) will also qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the rare earth export relief goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of U.S. oil by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase, or has definitively agreed to purchase, U.S. oil. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the oil is delivered. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13 for a high-stakes summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping scheduled for May 14-15, marking their first face-to-face talks in over six months and delayed from March amid escalating tensions. Key agenda items include US tariffs exceeding 140%, arms sales to Taiwan, rare earths exports, AI restrictions, Iran conflict diplomacy, and North Korea, with US CEOs like Elon Musk and Tim Cook joining to pursue business deals such as Boeing orders and agricultural purchases. Traders monitor for official Chinese announcements on trade concessions, investment forums, or bilateral agreements by May 22 market resolution, as summit outcomes could signal de-escalation or persistent frictions in US-China relations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.

Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$12,943
Fecha de finalización
22 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 10:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of at least one Boeing aircraft by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase or order, or has definitively agreed to purchase or order, at least one Boeing aircraft. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase or order announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the aircraft is delivered. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of U.S. soybeans by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase, or has definitively agreed to purchase, U.S. soybeans. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for trade cooperation, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the soybeans are delivered. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces rare earth export relief for the United States between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Rare earth export relief includes any reduction, removal, or suspension of Chinese export controls or export restrictions affecting the export of rare earth elements, minerals, magnets, or related products to the United States. The extension of an existing Chinese commitment to allow exports of, or suspend export controls on, rare-earth materials to the United States (e.g. the rare earth export deal reached by the United States and China in October 2025) will also qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the rare earth export relief goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of U.S. oil by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase, or has definitively agreed to purchase, U.S. oil. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the oil is delivered. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13 for a high-stakes summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping scheduled for May 14-15, marking their first face-to-face talks in over six months and delayed from March amid escalating tensions. Key agenda items include US tariffs exceeding 140%, arms sales to Taiwan, rare earths exports, AI restrictions, Iran conflict diplomacy, and North Korea, with US CEOs like Elon Musk and Tim Cook joining to pursue business deals such as Boeing orders and agricultural purchases. Traders monitor for official Chinese announcements on trade concessions, investment forums, or bilateral agreements by May 22 market resolution, as summit outcomes could signal de-escalation or persistent frictions in US-China relations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.

Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$12,943
Fecha de finalización
22 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 10:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Cumbre Trump-Xi: ¿Qué anunciará China antes del 22 de mayo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Compra de aviones Boeing" con 88%, seguido de "Compra de soja estadounidense" con 71%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 88¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 88% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Cumbre Trump-Xi: ¿Qué anunciará China antes del 22 de mayo?" ha generado $12.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 12, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Cumbre Trump-Xi: ¿Qué anunciará China antes del 22 de mayo?", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Cumbre Trump-Xi: ¿Qué anunciará China antes del 22 de mayo?" es "Compra de aviones Boeing" con 88%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 88% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Compra de soja estadounidense" con 71%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Cumbre Trump-Xi: ¿Qué anunciará China antes del 22 de mayo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.