President Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13, 2026, receiving a red-carpet welcome with military honors and flag-waving crowds, hosted by Vice President Han Zheng ahead of his summit with Xi Jinping. The state banquet at the Great Hall of the People is scheduled for Thursday evening local time (6:00 p.m. Beijing, 6:00 a.m. ET), followed by bilateral talks on trade imbalances, technology restrictions, Taiwan tensions, and Middle East developments including potential cooperation on Iran amid U.S. oil sanctions. Advance U.S. C-17 transports arrived early May to prepare logistics, signaling high-stakes diplomacy. Traders focus on Trump's rhetorical style—often invoking history, diplomacy, agriculture, or cultural sites like the Temple of Heaven from his itinerary—in live remarks or Q&A, with resolution hinging on broadcast verification by May 14 end. China's lavish pageantry aims to build rapport, echoing 2017 dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$8,210 Vol.
13 may 2026
Silk Road
17%
Ping-pong / Ping Pong
16%
Heaven
50%
Tiger
16%
Forbidden City
19%
Nixon
25%
Farm / Farmer
36%
Gun
13%
Dynasty
26%
Confucius / Confucian
6%
Friendship
61%
Hottest
24%
Sovereign / Sovereignty
33%
Ancient
53%
Farm / Farmer
37%
World War II
25%
Temple
66%
Paper
16%
-No Qualifying Event-
22%
$8,210 Vol.
Silk Road
$179 Vol.
17%
Ping-pong / Ping Pong
$139 Vol.
16%
Heaven
$1,833 Vol.
50%
Tiger
$36 Vol.
16%
Forbidden City
$98 Vol.
19%
Nixon
$67 Vol.
25%
Farm / Farmer
$366 Vol.
36%
Gun
$102 Vol.
13%
Dynasty
$53 Vol.
26%
Confucius / Confucian
$154 Vol.
6%
Friendship
$240 Vol.
61%
Hottest
$270 Vol.
24%
Sovereign / Sovereignty
$178 Vol.
33%
Ancient
$366 Vol.
53%
Farm / Farmer
$228 Vol.
37%
World War II
$31 Vol.
25%
Temple
$934 Vol.
66%
Paper
$81 Vol.
16%
-No Qualifying Event-
$2,865 Vol.
22%
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a State Banquet in Beijing on May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the State Banquet scheduled for May 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a State Banquet with the President of the People's Republic of China [Local: 6:00 PM]" scheduled for May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13, 2026, receiving a red-carpet welcome with military honors and flag-waving crowds, hosted by Vice President Han Zheng ahead of his summit with Xi Jinping. The state banquet at the Great Hall of the People is scheduled for Thursday evening local time (6:00 p.m. Beijing, 6:00 a.m. ET), followed by bilateral talks on trade imbalances, technology restrictions, Taiwan tensions, and Middle East developments including potential cooperation on Iran amid U.S. oil sanctions. Advance U.S. C-17 transports arrived early May to prepare logistics, signaling high-stakes diplomacy. Traders focus on Trump's rhetorical style—often invoking history, diplomacy, agriculture, or cultural sites like the Temple of Heaven from his itinerary—in live remarks or Q&A, with resolution hinging on broadcast verification by May 14 end. China's lavish pageantry aims to build rapport, echoing 2017 dynamics.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a State Banquet in Beijing on May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the State Banquet scheduled for May 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a State Banquet with the President of the People's Republic of China [Local: 6:00 PM]" scheduled for May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the State Banquet scheduled for May 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a State Banquet with the President of the People's Republic of China [Local: 6:00 PM]" scheduled for May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
Volumen
$8,210Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 8:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a State Banquet in Beijing on May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the State Banquet scheduled for May 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a State Banquet with the President of the People's Republic of China [Local: 6:00 PM]" scheduled for May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13, 2026, receiving a red-carpet welcome with military honors and flag-waving crowds, hosted by Vice President Han Zheng ahead of his summit with Xi Jinping. The state banquet at the Great Hall of the People is scheduled for Thursday evening local time (6:00 p.m. Beijing, 6:00 a.m. ET), followed by bilateral talks on trade imbalances, technology restrictions, Taiwan tensions, and Middle East developments including potential cooperation on Iran amid U.S. oil sanctions. Advance U.S. C-17 transports arrived early May to prepare logistics, signaling high-stakes diplomacy. Traders focus on Trump's rhetorical style—often invoking history, diplomacy, agriculture, or cultural sites like the Temple of Heaven from his itinerary—in live remarks or Q&A, with resolution hinging on broadcast verification by May 14 end. China's lavish pageantry aims to build rapport, echoing 2017 dynamics.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a State Banquet in Beijing on May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the State Banquet scheduled for May 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a State Banquet with the President of the People's Republic of China [Local: 6:00 PM]" scheduled for May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the State Banquet scheduled for May 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a State Banquet with the President of the People's Republic of China [Local: 6:00 PM]" scheduled for May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,210Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 8:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13, 2026, receiving a red-carpet welcome with military honors and flag-waving crowds, hosted by Vice President Han Zheng ahead of his summit with Xi Jinping. The state banquet at the Great Hall of the People is scheduled for Thursday evening local time (6:00 p.m. Beijing, 6:00 a.m. ET), followed by bilateral talks on trade imbalances, technology restrictions, Taiwan tensions, and Middle East developments including potential cooperation on Iran amid U.S. oil sanctions. Advance U.S. C-17 transports arrived early May to prepare logistics, signaling high-stakes diplomacy. Traders focus on Trump's rhetorical style—often invoking history, diplomacy, agriculture, or cultural sites like the Temple of Heaven from his itinerary—in live remarks or Q&A, with resolution hinging on broadcast verification by May 14 end. China's lavish pageantry aims to build rapport, echoing 2017 dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes