Trader consensus leans toward a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or longer at 44.5%, driven by precedent from Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping's October 2025 Busan summit, where their grip lasted nearly 27 seconds amid trade truce discussions and positive body language despite some awkward optics. The upcoming confirmed May 14-15 Beijing summit, following China's facilitation of an Iran ceasefire and Xi's recent meeting with Taiwan's KMT chairwoman to signal cross-strait dialogue, has fueled optimism for cordial diplomacy. Trump's public remarks anticipating a "big fat hug" from Xi reinforce expectations of an extended greeting, while low probabilities for no handshake (7.6%) or shorter durations reflect the locked-in bilateral meeting and historical patterns of Trump's firm, lingering style.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado15s+ 44%
10–15s 31%
6–10 s 18%
2–6s 8%
$72,205 Vol.
$72,205 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sin apretón de manos
7%
<2s
3%
2–6s
8%
6–10 s
18%
10–15s
25%
15s+
44%
Solo fotografiados
2%
15s+ 44%
10–15s 31%
6–10 s 18%
2–6s 8%
$72,205 Vol.
$72,205 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sin apretón de manos
$11,824 Vol.
7%
<2s
$14,364 Vol.
3%
2–6s
$11,707 Vol.
8%
6–10 s
$4,556 Vol.
18%
10–15s
$4,417 Vol.
25%
15s+
$12,282 Vol.
44%
Solo fotografiados
$13,055 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus leans toward a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or longer at 44.5%, driven by precedent from Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping's October 2025 Busan summit, where their grip lasted nearly 27 seconds amid trade truce discussions and positive body language despite some awkward optics. The upcoming confirmed May 14-15 Beijing summit, following China's facilitation of an Iran ceasefire and Xi's recent meeting with Taiwan's KMT chairwoman to signal cross-strait dialogue, has fueled optimism for cordial diplomacy. Trump's public remarks anticipating a "big fat hug" from Xi reinforce expectations of an extended greeting, while low probabilities for no handshake (7.6%) or shorter durations reflect the locked-in bilateral meeting and historical patterns of Trump's firm, lingering style.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Mercado abierto: Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Volumen
$72,205Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus leans toward a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or longer at 44.5%, driven by precedent from Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping's October 2025 Busan summit, where their grip lasted nearly 27 seconds amid trade truce discussions and positive body language despite some awkward optics. The upcoming confirmed May 14-15 Beijing summit, following China's facilitation of an Iran ceasefire and Xi's recent meeting with Taiwan's KMT chairwoman to signal cross-strait dialogue, has fueled optimism for cordial diplomacy. Trump's public remarks anticipating a "big fat hug" from Xi reinforce expectations of an extended greeting, while low probabilities for no handshake (7.6%) or shorter durations reflect the locked-in bilateral meeting and historical patterns of Trump's firm, lingering style.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Volumen
$72,205Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus leans toward a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or longer at 44.5%, driven by precedent from Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping's October 2025 Busan summit, where their grip lasted nearly 27 seconds amid trade truce discussions and positive body language despite some awkward optics. The upcoming confirmed May 14-15 Beijing summit, following China's facilitation of an Iran ceasefire and Xi's recent meeting with Taiwan's KMT chairwoman to signal cross-strait dialogue, has fueled optimism for cordial diplomacy. Trump's public remarks anticipating a "big fat hug" from Xi reinforce expectations of an extended greeting, while low probabilities for no handshake (7.6%) or shorter durations reflect the locked-in bilateral meeting and historical patterns of Trump's firm, lingering style.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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