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Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by...?

icon for Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by...?

Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by...?

$55,805 Vol.

30 sep 2026
Polymarket

$55,805 Vol.

Polymarket

June 15

$5,340 Vol.

58%

June 30

$1,915 Vol.

74%

September 30

$3,423 Vol.

91%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republicans in the 119th Congress continue advancing a narrow FY2026 reconciliation package focused on immigration enforcement, with the House Homeland Security and Judiciary committees directed by the April budget resolution to draft legislation providing up to $70 billion for ICE, CBP, and related functions. Senate committees released draft text in early May, and House work on corresponding provisions remains active amid closed-door GOP discussions of a potential third package before the August recess. Passage requires unified Republican support in a chamber with slim majorities, where committee markups, floor scheduling, and internal negotiations over spending priorities and deficit effects directly influence timelines. The reconciliation process allows simple-majority approval without filibuster risk once instructions are followed.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$55,805
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republicans in the 119th Congress continue advancing a narrow FY2026 reconciliation package focused on immigration enforcement, with the House Homeland Security and Judiciary committees directed by the April budget resolution to draft legislation providing up to $70 billion for ICE, CBP, and related functions. Senate committees released draft text in early May, and House work on corresponding provisions remains active amid closed-door GOP discussions of a potential third package before the August recess. Passage requires unified Republican support in a chamber with slim majorities, where committee markups, floor scheduling, and internal negotiations over spending priorities and deficit effects directly influence timelines. The reconciliation process allows simple-majority approval without filibuster risk once instructions are followed.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$55,805
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "September 30" con 91%, seguido de "June 30" con 74%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 91¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by...?" ha generado $55.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 21, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by...?", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by...?" es "September 30" con 91%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "June 30" con 74%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.