Skip to main content
icon for Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

icon for Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

Aaron Lukas 17%

Michael Ellis 10.2%

Elise Stefanik 10%

No announcement by December 31 9.8%

Polymarket

$65,504 Vol.

Aaron Lukas 17%

Michael Ellis 10.2%

Elise Stefanik 10%

No announcement by December 31 9.8%

Polymarket

$65,504 Vol.

Aaron Lukas

$14,459 Vol.

17%

Michael Ellis

$1,597 Vol.

10%

Elise Stefanik

$13,665 Vol.

10%

No announcement by December 31

$8,193 Vol.

10%

Devin Nunes

$8,690 Vol.

10%

John Ratcliffe

$324 Vol.

20%

John Eisenberg

$156 Vol.

5%

Tom Cotton

$8,602 Vol.

5%

Richard Grenell

$7,952 Vol.

5%

Sebastian Gorka

$148 Vol.

5%

Amaryllis Fox Kennedy

$174 Vol.

4%

Chris Stewart

$314 Vol.

3%

Stephen Miller

$130 Vol.

3%

Robert O’Brien

$164 Vol.

3%

Derek Harvey

$254 Vol.

3%

Mike Flynn

$152 Vol.

2%

Kash Patel

$157 Vol.

<1%

Mike Waltz

$156 Vol.

<1%

Stacey Dixon

$274 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent resignation of Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence has created an open field for the permanent position, with no single candidate consolidating support among traders. John Ratcliffe's prior service in the role and Aaron Lukas's position as principal deputy keep them near the top, while other Trump-aligned figures such as Michael Ellis, Elise Stefanik, and Devin Nunes remain competitive due to their records on intelligence oversight and policy alignment. Senate confirmation dynamics, the emphasis on reshaping intelligence priorities, and the absence of a formal nomination sustain the tight distribution. Scheduled Senate Intelligence Committee activity or direct announcements from the White House could quickly alter positioning ahead of any year-end deadline.

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.

An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$65,504
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent resignation of Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence has created an open field for the permanent position, with no single candidate consolidating support among traders. John Ratcliffe's prior service in the role and Aaron Lukas's position as principal deputy keep them near the top, while other Trump-aligned figures such as Michael Ellis, Elise Stefanik, and Devin Nunes remain competitive due to their records on intelligence oversight and policy alignment. Senate confirmation dynamics, the emphasis on reshaping intelligence priorities, and the absence of a formal nomination sustain the tight distribution. Scheduled Senate Intelligence Committee activity or direct announcements from the White House could quickly alter positioning ahead of any year-end deadline.

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.

An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$65,504
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 19 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "John Ratcliffe" con 20%, seguido de "Aaron Lukas" con 17%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 20¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 20% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?" ha generado $65.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 22, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?", explora los 19 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?" es "John Ratcliffe" con 20%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 20% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Aaron Lukas" con 17%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.