The recent resignation of Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence has created an open field for the permanent position, with no single candidate consolidating support among traders. John Ratcliffe's prior service in the role and Aaron Lukas's position as principal deputy keep them near the top, while other Trump-aligned figures such as Michael Ellis, Elise Stefanik, and Devin Nunes remain competitive due to their records on intelligence oversight and policy alignment. Senate confirmation dynamics, the emphasis on reshaping intelligence priorities, and the absence of a formal nomination sustain the tight distribution. Scheduled Senate Intelligence Committee activity or direct announcements from the White House could quickly alter positioning ahead of any year-end deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWho will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
Aaron Lukas 17%
Michael Ellis 10.2%
Elise Stefanik 10%
No announcement by December 31 9.8%
$65,504 Vol.
$65,504 Vol.
Aaron Lukas
17%
Michael Ellis
10%
Elise Stefanik
10%
No announcement by December 31
10%
Devin Nunes
10%
John Ratcliffe
20%
John Eisenberg
5%
Tom Cotton
5%
Richard Grenell
5%
Sebastian Gorka
5%
Amaryllis Fox Kennedy
4%
Chris Stewart
3%
Stephen Miller
3%
Robert O’Brien
3%
Derek Harvey
3%
Mike Flynn
2%
Kash Patel
<1%
Mike Waltz
<1%
Stacey Dixon
<1%
Aaron Lukas 17%
Michael Ellis 10.2%
Elise Stefanik 10%
No announcement by December 31 9.8%
$65,504 Vol.
$65,504 Vol.
Aaron Lukas
17%
Michael Ellis
10%
Elise Stefanik
10%
No announcement by December 31
10%
Devin Nunes
10%
John Ratcliffe
20%
John Eisenberg
5%
Tom Cotton
5%
Richard Grenell
5%
Sebastian Gorka
5%
Amaryllis Fox Kennedy
4%
Chris Stewart
3%
Stephen Miller
3%
Robert O’Brien
3%
Derek Harvey
3%
Mike Flynn
2%
Kash Patel
<1%
Mike Waltz
<1%
Stacey Dixon
<1%
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The recent resignation of Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence has created an open field for the permanent position, with no single candidate consolidating support among traders. John Ratcliffe's prior service in the role and Aaron Lukas's position as principal deputy keep them near the top, while other Trump-aligned figures such as Michael Ellis, Elise Stefanik, and Devin Nunes remain competitive due to their records on intelligence oversight and policy alignment. Senate confirmation dynamics, the emphasis on reshaping intelligence priorities, and the absence of a formal nomination sustain the tight distribution. Scheduled Senate Intelligence Committee activity or direct announcements from the White House could quickly alter positioning ahead of any year-end deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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