Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 release on April 16 has cemented its position as the leading large language model, topping LMSYS Chatbot Arena Elo ratings, SWE-bench for coding, and aggregate leaderboards like BenchLM and LLM-Stats with scores up to 99, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro. This back-to-back advancement from Claude Opus 4.6 builds trader consensus to 100% implied probability, reflecting real-money bets on verified benchmark dominance amid no rival launches in the final weeks. While a surprise drop from competitors like xAI or Meta could challenge this—requiring superior demonstrated capabilities on multiple evals—tight timelines and quiet development signals make upsets improbable as the market resolves today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
Baidu <1%
$21,423,742 Vol.
$21,423,742 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Anthropic
100%
OpenAI
<1%
xAI
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Meta
<1%
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
Baidu <1%
$21,423,742 Vol.
$21,423,742 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Anthropic
$2,104,937 Vol.
100%
OpenAI
$4,086,616 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$1,029,623 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$1,510,597 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$1,233,918 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$716,466 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$1,079,580 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$591,742 Vol.
<1%
$1,463,135 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$1,160,561 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$951,517 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$813,794 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$1,219,984 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$3,257,590 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$203,683 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 release on April 16 has cemented its position as the leading large language model, topping LMSYS Chatbot Arena Elo ratings, SWE-bench for coding, and aggregate leaderboards like BenchLM and LLM-Stats with scores up to 99, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro. This back-to-back advancement from Claude Opus 4.6 builds trader consensus to 100% implied probability, reflecting real-money bets on verified benchmark dominance amid no rival launches in the final weeks. While a surprise drop from competitors like xAI or Meta could challenge this—requiring superior demonstrated capabilities on multiple evals—tight timelines and quiet development signals make upsets improbable as the market resolves today.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Volumen
$21,423,742Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 release on April 16 has cemented its position as the leading large language model, topping LMSYS Chatbot Arena Elo ratings, SWE-bench for coding, and aggregate leaderboards like BenchLM and LLM-Stats with scores up to 99, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro. This back-to-back advancement from Claude Opus 4.6 builds trader consensus to 100% implied probability, reflecting real-money bets on verified benchmark dominance amid no rival launches in the final weeks. While a surprise drop from competitors like xAI or Meta could challenge this—requiring superior demonstrated capabilities on multiple evals—tight timelines and quiet development signals make upsets improbable as the market resolves today.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$21,423,742Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 release on April 16 has cemented its position as the leading large language model, topping LMSYS Chatbot Arena Elo ratings, SWE-bench for coding, and aggregate leaderboards like BenchLM and LLM-Stats with scores up to 99, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro. This back-to-back advancement from Claude Opus 4.6 builds trader consensus to 100% implied probability, reflecting real-money bets on verified benchmark dominance amid no rival launches in the final weeks. While a surprise drop from competitors like xAI or Meta could challenge this—requiring superior demonstrated capabilities on multiple evals—tight timelines and quiet development signals make upsets improbable as the market resolves today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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