**Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has locked in the #2 spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard under Style Control On as of April 30, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 99.6% implied probability.** Released on April 16, the model surged ahead with superior performance in text-to-text tasks across math, coding, and creative writing, outpacing rivals like OpenAI's GPT-5 variants and Google's Gemini in normalized style evaluations that prioritize substance over stylistic flair. No competing large language models have displaced it in the final days, despite minor service hiccups at Anthropic. Realistic challenges include a last-minute leaderboard refresh from surging challenger data or an unannounced rival release, though proximity to resolution limits such risks, reflecting traders' strong skin-in-the-game confidence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic 99.8%
OpenAI <1%
DeepSeek <1%
Meta <1%
$81,952 Vol.
$81,952 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Anthropic
100%
OpenAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Meta
1%
xAI
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 99.8%
OpenAI <1%
DeepSeek <1%
Meta <1%
$81,952 Vol.
$81,952 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Anthropic
$32,014 Vol.
100%
OpenAI
$11,046 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$4,417 Vol.
1%
Meta
$3,793 Vol.
1%
xAI
$3,023 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$5,771 Vol.
<1%
$5,560 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$3,483 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$3,198 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$1,865 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$2,040 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$1,943 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$2,245 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,948 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$217 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.**Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has locked in the #2 spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard under Style Control On as of April 30, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 99.6% implied probability.** Released on April 16, the model surged ahead with superior performance in text-to-text tasks across math, coding, and creative writing, outpacing rivals like OpenAI's GPT-5 variants and Google's Gemini in normalized style evaluations that prioritize substance over stylistic flair. No competing large language models have displaced it in the final days, despite minor service hiccups at Anthropic. Realistic challenges include a last-minute leaderboard refresh from surging challenger data or an unannounced rival release, though proximity to resolution limits such risks, reflecting traders' strong skin-in-the-game confidence.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Volumen
$81,952Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 4:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.**Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has locked in the #2 spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard under Style Control On as of April 30, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 99.6% implied probability.** Released on April 16, the model surged ahead with superior performance in text-to-text tasks across math, coding, and creative writing, outpacing rivals like OpenAI's GPT-5 variants and Google's Gemini in normalized style evaluations that prioritize substance over stylistic flair. No competing large language models have displaced it in the final days, despite minor service hiccups at Anthropic. Realistic challenges include a last-minute leaderboard refresh from surging challenger data or an unannounced rival release, though proximity to resolution limits such risks, reflecting traders' strong skin-in-the-game confidence.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$81,952Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 4:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has locked in the #2 spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard under Style Control On as of April 30, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 99.6% implied probability.** Released on April 16, the model surged ahead with superior performance in text-to-text tasks across math, coding, and creative writing, outpacing rivals like OpenAI's GPT-5 variants and Google's Gemini in normalized style evaluations that prioritize substance over stylistic flair. No competing large language models have displaced it in the final days, despite minor service hiccups at Anthropic. Realistic challenges include a last-minute leaderboard refresh from surging challenger data or an unannounced rival release, though proximity to resolution limits such risks, reflecting traders' strong skin-in-the-game confidence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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