Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 160-199 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts from May 8-15, reflecting his recent weekly volume of 146 posts (April 28-May 5, averaging 21 per day)—down from early 2026 peaks exceeding 300 amid the ongoing OpenAI trial that began April 28 and demanded his testimony. The closely matched frontrunners (180-199 at 17.5%, 160-179 at 16%) highlight uncertainty over post-trial rebound, as a mid-May verdict could either free bandwidth for heightened engagement on Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI updates, or sustain moderated activity if appeals follow. Historical variance and real-time trackers underscore the high-stakes volatility in Musk's social media cadence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado160-179 16%
180-199 16%
200-219 15%
140-159 13%
NUEVO
$43,765 Vol.
NUEVO
$43,765 Vol.
15 may 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
2%
100-119
4%
120-139
6%
140-159
13%
160-179
16%
180-199
16%
200-219
15%
220-239
12%
240-259
9%
260-279
6%
280-299
4%
300-319
3%
320-339
3%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 16%
180-199 16%
200-219 15%
140-159 13%
NUEVO
$43,765 Vol.
NUEVO
$43,765 Vol.
15 may 2026
<20
$8,083 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$10,126 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$1,631 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$782 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$2,058 Vol.
2%
100-119
$2,203 Vol.
4%
120-139
$1,729 Vol.
6%
140-159
$1,324 Vol.
13%
160-179
$2,420 Vol.
16%
180-199
$2,556 Vol.
16%
200-219
$808 Vol.
15%
220-239
$613 Vol.
12%
240-259
$688 Vol.
9%
260-279
$652 Vol.
6%
280-299
$652 Vol.
4%
300-319
$729 Vol.
3%
320-339
$679 Vol.
3%
340-359
$702 Vol.
1%
360-379
$770 Vol.
1%
380-399
$592 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$742 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$625 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$621 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$622 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$622 Vol.
<1%
500+
$787 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 160-199 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts from May 8-15, reflecting his recent weekly volume of 146 posts (April 28-May 5, averaging 21 per day)—down from early 2026 peaks exceeding 300 amid the ongoing OpenAI trial that began April 28 and demanded his testimony. The closely matched frontrunners (180-199 at 17.5%, 160-179 at 16%) highlight uncertainty over post-trial rebound, as a mid-May verdict could either free bandwidth for heightened engagement on Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI updates, or sustain moderated activity if appeals follow. Historical variance and real-time trackers underscore the high-stakes volatility in Musk's social media cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$43,765Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 160-199 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts from May 8-15, reflecting his recent weekly volume of 146 posts (April 28-May 5, averaging 21 per day)—down from early 2026 peaks exceeding 300 amid the ongoing OpenAI trial that began April 28 and demanded his testimony. The closely matched frontrunners (180-199 at 17.5%, 160-179 at 16%) highlight uncertainty over post-trial rebound, as a mid-May verdict could either free bandwidth for heightened engagement on Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI updates, or sustain moderated activity if appeals follow. Historical variance and real-time trackers underscore the high-stakes volatility in Musk's social media cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$43,765Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 160-199 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts from May 8-15, reflecting his recent weekly volume of 146 posts (April 28-May 5, averaging 21 per day)—down from early 2026 peaks exceeding 300 amid the ongoing OpenAI trial that began April 28 and demanded his testimony. The closely matched frontrunners (180-199 at 17.5%, 160-179 at 16%) highlight uncertainty over post-trial rebound, as a mid-May verdict could either free bandwidth for heightened engagement on Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI updates, or sustain moderated activity if appeals follow. Historical variance and real-time trackers underscore the high-stakes volatility in Musk's social media cadence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes