Trader consensus prices Republican Senate seats tightly clustered between 47 and 51 after the November 2026 midterms, reflecting uncertainty in 9-11 battleground races despite Republicans defending their 53-seat majority from a favorable map with fewer vulnerable incumbents. Historical midterm losses for the president's party offset GOP advantages, amplified by recent Cook Political Report shifts toward Democrats in North Carolina's open seat and Georgia incumbent Jon Ossoff's race, plus competitive Ohio special election pitting appointed Sen. Jon Husted against former Sen. Sherrod Brown. Heavy Senate Leadership Fund spending—$79 million in Ohio alone—signals defensive urgency, while upcoming May-June primaries in Texas, Georgia, Iowa, and Maine could yield nominee weaknesses or shifts; polling trends, national environment, and turnout in swing states like Michigan and New Hampshire will likely determine separation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$2,145,175 Vol.
$2,145,175 Vol.
≤47
24%
48
12%
49
16%
50
18%
51
16%
52
6%
53
4%
54
1%
55
1%
56
1%
57+
2%
$2,145,175 Vol.
$2,145,175 Vol.
≤47
$66,925 Vol.
24%
48
$20,351 Vol.
12%
49
$15,270 Vol.
16%
50
$65,422 Vol.
18%
51
$164,886 Vol.
16%
52
$511,181 Vol.
6%
53
$16,957 Vol.
4%
54
$710,449 Vol.
1%
55
$394,980 Vol.
1%
56
$143,519 Vol.
1%
57+
$35,235 Vol.
2%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Republican Senate seats tightly clustered between 47 and 51 after the November 2026 midterms, reflecting uncertainty in 9-11 battleground races despite Republicans defending their 53-seat majority from a favorable map with fewer vulnerable incumbents. Historical midterm losses for the president's party offset GOP advantages, amplified by recent Cook Political Report shifts toward Democrats in North Carolina's open seat and Georgia incumbent Jon Ossoff's race, plus competitive Ohio special election pitting appointed Sen. Jon Husted against former Sen. Sherrod Brown. Heavy Senate Leadership Fund spending—$79 million in Ohio alone—signals defensive urgency, while upcoming May-June primaries in Texas, Georgia, Iowa, and Maine could yield nominee weaknesses or shifts; polling trends, national environment, and turnout in swing states like Michigan and New Hampshire will likely determine separation.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ET
Volumen
$2,145,175Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Republican Senate seats tightly clustered between 47 and 51 after the November 2026 midterms, reflecting uncertainty in 9-11 battleground races despite Republicans defending their 53-seat majority from a favorable map with fewer vulnerable incumbents. Historical midterm losses for the president's party offset GOP advantages, amplified by recent Cook Political Report shifts toward Democrats in North Carolina's open seat and Georgia incumbent Jon Ossoff's race, plus competitive Ohio special election pitting appointed Sen. Jon Husted against former Sen. Sherrod Brown. Heavy Senate Leadership Fund spending—$79 million in Ohio alone—signals defensive urgency, while upcoming May-June primaries in Texas, Georgia, Iowa, and Maine could yield nominee weaknesses or shifts; polling trends, national environment, and turnout in swing states like Michigan and New Hampshire will likely determine separation.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$2,145,175Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republican Senate seats tightly clustered between 47 and 51 after the November 2026 midterms, reflecting uncertainty in 9-11 battleground races despite Republicans defending their 53-seat majority from a favorable map with fewer vulnerable incumbents. Historical midterm losses for the president's party offset GOP advantages, amplified by recent Cook Political Report shifts toward Democrats in North Carolina's open seat and Georgia incumbent Jon Ossoff's race, plus competitive Ohio special election pitting appointed Sen. Jon Husted against former Sen. Sherrod Brown. Heavy Senate Leadership Fund spending—$79 million in Ohio alone—signals defensive urgency, while upcoming May-June primaries in Texas, Georgia, Iowa, and Maine could yield nominee weaknesses or shifts; polling trends, national environment, and turnout in swing states like Michigan and New Hampshire will likely determine separation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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