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icon for ¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 30 de abril?

¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 30 de abril?

icon for ¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 30 de abril?

¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 30 de abril?

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$666,418 Vol.

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$666,418 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Hegseth remains in his role as Secretary of Defense after the April 30 deadline passed without any resignation, firing, or removal, driving trader consensus to price "No" at 99.9% as the wisdom of crowds reflects his ongoing tenure. Confirmed by the Senate in January 2025 by a narrow 51-50 vote, Hegseth recently testified before the House Armed Services Committee on April 29, 2026, defending the FY2027 Pentagon budget request amid scrutiny over his firings of top military leaders like Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George and Navy Secretary John Phelan. While controversies fuel longer-term markets on his potential exit, no developments met the short-term resolution criteria. Realistic shifts would require late-breaking official announcements disputing his status, such as a retroactive vacancy determination, though barriers like lack of evidence make this improbable.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$666,418
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Hegseth remains in his role as Secretary of Defense after the April 30 deadline passed without any resignation, firing, or removal, driving trader consensus to price "No" at 99.9% as the wisdom of crowds reflects his ongoing tenure. Confirmed by the Senate in January 2025 by a narrow 51-50 vote, Hegseth recently testified before the House Armed Services Committee on April 29, 2026, defending the FY2027 Pentagon budget request amid scrutiny over his firings of top military leaders like Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George and Navy Secretary John Phelan. While controversies fuel longer-term markets on his potential exit, no developments met the short-term resolution criteria. Realistic shifts would require late-breaking official announcements disputing his status, such as a retroactive vacancy determination, though barriers like lack of evidence make this improbable.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$666,418
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 30 de abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Pete Hegseth dejará de ser Secretario de Defensa antes del 30 de abril?" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 0¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 30 de abril?" ha generado $666.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 19, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 30 de abril?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 30 de abril?" es "¿Pete Hegseth dejará de ser Secretario de Defensa antes del 30 de abril?" con solo 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 30 de abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.