Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain Ohio's 11th Congressional District due to its deep-blue fundamentals, including a D+28 Cook Partisan Voting Index and 77% Democratic presidential vote share in recent cycles, centered in Cleveland's urban core. Incumbent Shontel Brown benefits from strong name recognition and fundraising edges in this safe seat, with no credible Republican path amid historical incumbency advantages in such districts. The newly redrawn map from October 2025 reinforces the Democratic lean. The May 5 Democratic primary could test Brown's position against challengers, but a general election upset would require a major scandal, weak nominee emergence, or national GOP wave—scenarios with low base rates in lopsided races.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-11
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-11
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$3,192 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$2,035 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain Ohio's 11th Congressional District due to its deep-blue fundamentals, including a D+28 Cook Partisan Voting Index and 77% Democratic presidential vote share in recent cycles, centered in Cleveland's urban core. Incumbent Shontel Brown benefits from strong name recognition and fundraising edges in this safe seat, with no credible Republican path amid historical incumbency advantages in such districts. The newly redrawn map from October 2025 reinforces the Democratic lean. The May 5 Democratic primary could test Brown's position against challengers, but a general election upset would require a major scandal, weak nominee emergence, or national GOP wave—scenarios with low base rates in lopsided races.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$5,227Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain Ohio's 11th Congressional District due to its deep-blue fundamentals, including a D+28 Cook Partisan Voting Index and 77% Democratic presidential vote share in recent cycles, centered in Cleveland's urban core. Incumbent Shontel Brown benefits from strong name recognition and fundraising edges in this safe seat, with no credible Republican path amid historical incumbency advantages in such districts. The newly redrawn map from October 2025 reinforces the Democratic lean. The May 5 Democratic primary could test Brown's position against challengers, but a general election upset would require a major scandal, weak nominee emergence, or national GOP wave—scenarios with low base rates in lopsided races.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$5,227Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain Ohio's 11th Congressional District due to its deep-blue fundamentals, including a D+28 Cook Partisan Voting Index and 77% Democratic presidential vote share in recent cycles, centered in Cleveland's urban core. Incumbent Shontel Brown benefits from strong name recognition and fundraising edges in this safe seat, with no credible Republican path amid historical incumbency advantages in such districts. The newly redrawn map from October 2025 reinforces the Democratic lean. The May 5 Democratic primary could test Brown's position against challengers, but a general election upset would require a major scandal, weak nominee emergence, or national GOP wave—scenarios with low base rates in lopsided races.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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