Incumbent Republican David Taylor's dominant 73% victory in 2024 and the district's deep-red profile in southern Ohio, further solidified by the October 2025 redistricting that extends into rural Appalachia, underpin trader consensus pricing GOP win at 92%. With the May 5 primary four days away, Taylor leads his Republican primary challenge from Bob Carr, while Democrats pit Jennifer Mazzukelli against Todd Wilson in a low-visibility contest lacking competitive polling. This commanding position reflects historical base rates for safe House seats, though scenarios like a primary upset yielding a weakened GOP nominee, a major scandal, or an anti-incumbent midterm wave could narrow the gap before November's general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-02
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-02
$50,844 Vol.
$50,844 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
92%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$50,844 Vol.
$50,844 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$16,353 Vol.
92%
Partido Demócrata
$34,491 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Taylor's dominant 73% victory in 2024 and the district's deep-red profile in southern Ohio, further solidified by the October 2025 redistricting that extends into rural Appalachia, underpin trader consensus pricing GOP win at 92%. With the May 5 primary four days away, Taylor leads his Republican primary challenge from Bob Carr, while Democrats pit Jennifer Mazzukelli against Todd Wilson in a low-visibility contest lacking competitive polling. This commanding position reflects historical base rates for safe House seats, though scenarios like a primary upset yielding a weakened GOP nominee, a major scandal, or an anti-incumbent midterm wave could narrow the gap before November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$50,844Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Taylor's dominant 73% victory in 2024 and the district's deep-red profile in southern Ohio, further solidified by the October 2025 redistricting that extends into rural Appalachia, underpin trader consensus pricing GOP win at 92%. With the May 5 primary four days away, Taylor leads his Republican primary challenge from Bob Carr, while Democrats pit Jennifer Mazzukelli against Todd Wilson in a low-visibility contest lacking competitive polling. This commanding position reflects historical base rates for safe House seats, though scenarios like a primary upset yielding a weakened GOP nominee, a major scandal, or an anti-incumbent midterm wave could narrow the gap before November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$50,844Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Taylor's dominant 73% victory in 2024 and the district's deep-red profile in southern Ohio, further solidified by the October 2025 redistricting that extends into rural Appalachia, underpin trader consensus pricing GOP win at 92%. With the May 5 primary four days away, Taylor leads his Republican primary challenge from Bob Carr, while Democrats pit Jennifer Mazzukelli against Todd Wilson in a low-visibility contest lacking competitive polling. This commanding position reflects historical base rates for safe House seats, though scenarios like a primary upset yielding a weakened GOP nominee, a major scandal, or an anti-incumbent midterm wave could narrow the gap before November's general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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