Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus indicate a June 15 minimum near 26°C under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and an easterly to southerly airstream, anchoring the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated humidity sustains warmth, producing the narrow spread traders currently price. Minor forecast divergences in timing of showers or wind shifts could tip the exact low between the leading outcomes, with updated numerical model runs and official bulletins serving as the next key catalysts before resolution. Historical June minima in Hong Kong typically range 25–27°C during similar synoptic patterns, underscoring the limited downside risk reflected in lower-probability outcomes below 24°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 15 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 15 de junio?
26°C 34%
25°C 26%
27°C 24%
24°C 6.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
22°C o menos
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
7%
25°C
26%
26°C
39%
27°C
24%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
26°C 34%
25°C 26%
27°C 24%
24°C 6.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
22°C o menos
$13 Vol.
1%
23°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$252 Vol.
7%
25°C
$110 Vol.
26%
26°C
$130 Vol.
39%
27°C
$105 Vol.
24%
28°C
$683 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,072 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$407 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
32°C o más
$405 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus indicate a June 15 minimum near 26°C under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and an easterly to southerly airstream, anchoring the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated humidity sustains warmth, producing the narrow spread traders currently price. Minor forecast divergences in timing of showers or wind shifts could tip the exact low between the leading outcomes, with updated numerical model runs and official bulletins serving as the next key catalysts before resolution. Historical June minima in Hong Kong typically range 25–27°C during similar synoptic patterns, underscoring the limited downside risk reflected in lower-probability outcomes below 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volumen
$3,551Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus indicate a June 15 minimum near 26°C under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and an easterly to southerly airstream, anchoring the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated humidity sustains warmth, producing the narrow spread traders currently price. Minor forecast divergences in timing of showers or wind shifts could tip the exact low between the leading outcomes, with updated numerical model runs and official bulletins serving as the next key catalysts before resolution. Historical June minima in Hong Kong typically range 25–27°C during similar synoptic patterns, underscoring the limited downside risk reflected in lower-probability outcomes below 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,551Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus indicate a June 15 minimum near 26°C under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and an easterly to southerly airstream, anchoring the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated humidity sustains warmth, producing the narrow spread traders currently price. Minor forecast divergences in timing of showers or wind shifts could tip the exact low between the leading outcomes, with updated numerical model runs and official bulletins serving as the next key catalysts before resolution. Historical June minima in Hong Kong typically range 25–27°C during similar synoptic patterns, underscoring the limited downside risk reflected in lower-probability outcomes below 24°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes