Trader consensus favors Morgan Stanley at 50% implied probability as lead underwriter for SpaceX's blockbuster "Project Apex" IPO, driven by its longstanding ties to Elon Musk—including advising on Tesla's 2010 debut and banker Michael Grimes' return—bolstered by reports of leading final bake-off presentations at Starbase. Bank of America trails at 16%, reflecting its inclusion in January disclosures alongside Goldman Sachs (11%), JPMorgan, and Citigroup as senior roles in the syndicate of 21 banks tapped for the potential $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion valuation. Recent April 6 virtual meetings outlined a late-May prospectus and June 8 roadshow, amid jockeying between Morgan Stanley and Goldman for top billing, with no traditional "lead left" position expected; resolution hinges on final S-1 filings clarifying hierarchy.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMorgan Stanley 50%
Bank of America 15.7%
Goldman Sachs 11%
JPMorgan 1.1%
$1,698,922 Vol.
$1,698,922 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Morgan Stanley
50%
Bank of America
16%
Goldman Sachs
11%
JPMorgan
1%
Citigroup
<1%
UBS
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Barclays
<1%
Morgan Stanley 50%
Bank of America 15.7%
Goldman Sachs 11%
JPMorgan 1.1%
$1,698,922 Vol.
$1,698,922 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Morgan Stanley
$343,631 Vol.
50%
Bank of America
$69,539 Vol.
16%
Goldman Sachs
$245,176 Vol.
11%
JPMorgan
$308,059 Vol.
1%
Citigroup
$190,723 Vol.
<1%
UBS
$97,362 Vol.
<1%
Wells Fargo
$63,815 Vol.
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$314,009 Vol.
<1%
Barclays
$66,607 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Morgan Stanley at 50% implied probability as lead underwriter for SpaceX's blockbuster "Project Apex" IPO, driven by its longstanding ties to Elon Musk—including advising on Tesla's 2010 debut and banker Michael Grimes' return—bolstered by reports of leading final bake-off presentations at Starbase. Bank of America trails at 16%, reflecting its inclusion in January disclosures alongside Goldman Sachs (11%), JPMorgan, and Citigroup as senior roles in the syndicate of 21 banks tapped for the potential $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion valuation. Recent April 6 virtual meetings outlined a late-May prospectus and June 8 roadshow, amid jockeying between Morgan Stanley and Goldman for top billing, with no traditional "lead left" position expected; resolution hinges on final S-1 filings clarifying hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
Volumen
$1,698,922Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Morgan Stanley at 50% implied probability as lead underwriter for SpaceX's blockbuster "Project Apex" IPO, driven by its longstanding ties to Elon Musk—including advising on Tesla's 2010 debut and banker Michael Grimes' return—bolstered by reports of leading final bake-off presentations at Starbase. Bank of America trails at 16%, reflecting its inclusion in January disclosures alongside Goldman Sachs (11%), JPMorgan, and Citigroup as senior roles in the syndicate of 21 banks tapped for the potential $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion valuation. Recent April 6 virtual meetings outlined a late-May prospectus and June 8 roadshow, amid jockeying between Morgan Stanley and Goldman for top billing, with no traditional "lead left" position expected; resolution hinges on final S-1 filings clarifying hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,698,922Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Morgan Stanley at 50% implied probability as lead underwriter for SpaceX's blockbuster "Project Apex" IPO, driven by its longstanding ties to Elon Musk—including advising on Tesla's 2010 debut and banker Michael Grimes' return—bolstered by reports of leading final bake-off presentations at Starbase. Bank of America trails at 16%, reflecting its inclusion in January disclosures alongside Goldman Sachs (11%), JPMorgan, and Citigroup as senior roles in the syndicate of 21 banks tapped for the potential $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion valuation. Recent April 6 virtual meetings outlined a late-May prospectus and June 8 roadshow, amid jockeying between Morgan Stanley and Goldman for top billing, with no traditional "lead left" position expected; resolution hinges on final S-1 filings clarifying hierarchy.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes