Morgan Stanley commands a 50% implied probability as the lead underwriter for SpaceX's anticipated "Project Apex" IPO due to its deep ties with Elon Musk, including leading the 2010 Tesla IPO and advising on the Twitter acquisition, reinforced by veteran banker Michael Grimes' February 2026 return to the firm specifically for this mega-deal potentially valuing SpaceX at $1.75 trillion. Bank of America trails at 15.8% following January Financial Times reports naming it among four senior banks alongside Goldman Sachs (10.5%) and JPMorgan, amid a late-March decision to forgo the traditional "lead left" spot and list banks alphabetically in the 21-bank syndicate announced April 1. Recent jockeying between Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, per April 25 reporting, underscores competitive dynamics as kick-off meetings loom ahead of a possible mid-2026 listing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMorgan Stanley 50%
Bank of America 16.0%
Goldman Sachs 11%
JPMorgan 1.1%
$1,698,922 Vol.
$1,698,922 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Morgan Stanley
50%
Bank of America
16%
Goldman Sachs
11%
JPMorgan
1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Barclays
<1%
Morgan Stanley 50%
Bank of America 16.0%
Goldman Sachs 11%
JPMorgan 1.1%
$1,698,922 Vol.
$1,698,922 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Morgan Stanley
$343,631 Vol.
50%
Bank of America
$69,539 Vol.
16%
Goldman Sachs
$245,176 Vol.
11%
JPMorgan
$308,059 Vol.
1%
Wells Fargo
$63,815 Vol.
<1%
Citigroup
$190,723 Vol.
<1%
UBS
$97,362 Vol.
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$314,009 Vol.
<1%
Barclays
$66,607 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Morgan Stanley commands a 50% implied probability as the lead underwriter for SpaceX's anticipated "Project Apex" IPO due to its deep ties with Elon Musk, including leading the 2010 Tesla IPO and advising on the Twitter acquisition, reinforced by veteran banker Michael Grimes' February 2026 return to the firm specifically for this mega-deal potentially valuing SpaceX at $1.75 trillion. Bank of America trails at 15.8% following January Financial Times reports naming it among four senior banks alongside Goldman Sachs (10.5%) and JPMorgan, amid a late-March decision to forgo the traditional "lead left" spot and list banks alphabetically in the 21-bank syndicate announced April 1. Recent jockeying between Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, per April 25 reporting, underscores competitive dynamics as kick-off meetings loom ahead of a possible mid-2026 listing.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
Volumen
$1,698,922Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Morgan Stanley commands a 50% implied probability as the lead underwriter for SpaceX's anticipated "Project Apex" IPO due to its deep ties with Elon Musk, including leading the 2010 Tesla IPO and advising on the Twitter acquisition, reinforced by veteran banker Michael Grimes' February 2026 return to the firm specifically for this mega-deal potentially valuing SpaceX at $1.75 trillion. Bank of America trails at 15.8% following January Financial Times reports naming it among four senior banks alongside Goldman Sachs (10.5%) and JPMorgan, amid a late-March decision to forgo the traditional "lead left" spot and list banks alphabetically in the 21-bank syndicate announced April 1. Recent jockeying between Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, per April 25 reporting, underscores competitive dynamics as kick-off meetings loom ahead of a possible mid-2026 listing.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,698,922Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Morgan Stanley commands a 50% implied probability as the lead underwriter for SpaceX's anticipated "Project Apex" IPO due to its deep ties with Elon Musk, including leading the 2010 Tesla IPO and advising on the Twitter acquisition, reinforced by veteran banker Michael Grimes' February 2026 return to the firm specifically for this mega-deal potentially valuing SpaceX at $1.75 trillion. Bank of America trails at 15.8% following January Financial Times reports naming it among four senior banks alongside Goldman Sachs (10.5%) and JPMorgan, amid a late-March decision to forgo the traditional "lead left" spot and list banks alphabetically in the 21-bank syndicate announced April 1. Recent jockeying between Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, per April 25 reporting, underscores competitive dynamics as kick-off meetings loom ahead of a possible mid-2026 listing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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