SpaceX commands an 88% implied probability as the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its April 1 confidential SEC filing targeting a June listing at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation—potentially raising $75 billion in the biggest debut ever—bolstered by February's merger with xAI, integrating AI compute ambitions like orbital data centers into Starlink's $20 billion projected revenue. Traders price this mega-valuation far above rivals, with xAI's lingering 25.5% odds reflecting merger synergies despite consolidation. Anthropic (5.5%) and OpenAI (4%) trail on unconfirmed Q4 rumors and lower $300-800 billion estimates, lacking filings amid regulatory scrutiny on AI labs. Watch SpaceX's early June roadshow for resolution catalysts, though timelines could slip on market volatility or Musk's control via dual-class shares.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSpaceX 88%
Anthropic 5.4%
OpenAI 4.0%
Databricks 1.8%
$1,801,094 Vol.
$1,801,094 Vol.
31 dic 2026
SpaceX
88%
Anthropic
5%
OpenAI
4%
Databricks
2%
Discord
1%
Kraken
1%
Revolut
1%
Waymo
<1%
Stripe
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
SpaceX 88%
Anthropic 5.4%
OpenAI 4.0%
Databricks 1.8%
$1,801,094 Vol.
$1,801,094 Vol.
31 dic 2026
SpaceX
$219,453 Vol.
88%
Anthropic
$354,402 Vol.
5%
OpenAI
$335,109 Vol.
4%
Databricks
$77,439 Vol.
2%
Discord
$77,014 Vol.
1%
Kraken
$381,281 Vol.
1%
Revolut
$43,652 Vol.
1%
Waymo
$53,887 Vol.
<1%
Stripe
$44,657 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$92,889 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$61,459 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$59,854 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX commands an 88% implied probability as the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its April 1 confidential SEC filing targeting a June listing at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation—potentially raising $75 billion in the biggest debut ever—bolstered by February's merger with xAI, integrating AI compute ambitions like orbital data centers into Starlink's $20 billion projected revenue. Traders price this mega-valuation far above rivals, with xAI's lingering 25.5% odds reflecting merger synergies despite consolidation. Anthropic (5.5%) and OpenAI (4%) trail on unconfirmed Q4 rumors and lower $300-800 billion estimates, lacking filings amid regulatory scrutiny on AI labs. Watch SpaceX's early June roadshow for resolution catalysts, though timelines could slip on market volatility or Musk's control via dual-class shares.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volumen
$1,801,094Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX commands an 88% implied probability as the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its April 1 confidential SEC filing targeting a June listing at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation—potentially raising $75 billion in the biggest debut ever—bolstered by February's merger with xAI, integrating AI compute ambitions like orbital data centers into Starlink's $20 billion projected revenue. Traders price this mega-valuation far above rivals, with xAI's lingering 25.5% odds reflecting merger synergies despite consolidation. Anthropic (5.5%) and OpenAI (4%) trail on unconfirmed Q4 rumors and lower $300-800 billion estimates, lacking filings amid regulatory scrutiny on AI labs. Watch SpaceX's early June roadshow for resolution catalysts, though timelines could slip on market volatility or Musk's control via dual-class shares.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$1,801,094Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX commands an 88% implied probability as the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its April 1 confidential SEC filing targeting a June listing at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation—potentially raising $75 billion in the biggest debut ever—bolstered by February's merger with xAI, integrating AI compute ambitions like orbital data centers into Starlink's $20 billion projected revenue. Traders price this mega-valuation far above rivals, with xAI's lingering 25.5% odds reflecting merger synergies despite consolidation. Anthropic (5.5%) and OpenAI (4%) trail on unconfirmed Q4 rumors and lower $300-800 billion estimates, lacking filings amid regulatory scrutiny on AI labs. Watch SpaceX's early June roadshow for resolution catalysts, though timelines could slip on market volatility or Musk's control via dual-class shares.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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