Latest numerical weather prediction models from MetService New Zealand and international ensembles indicate daytime maxima of 13–15°C for Wellington on June 12 under mild northerly flow and limited cloud cover, positioning 14°C as the leading market outcome at 49% implied probability. This reflects a modest warming signal relative to the long-term June average high of 12–13°C, following an early-month warm spell that produced record temperatures above 19°C. Ensemble spread remains narrow given the short lead time, though minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing could shift the final maximum by 1°C. Historical mid-June climatology shows highs rarely exceed 15°C, reinforcing trader focus on the current forecast consensus ahead of the next model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 12 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 12 de junio?
14°C 52%
15°C 34%
13°C 7%
16°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jun 2026
8°C o menos
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
4%
13°C
7%
14°C
48%
15°C
34%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C o más
1%
14°C 52%
15°C 34%
13°C 7%
16°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jun 2026
8°C o menos
$20 Vol.
1%
9°C
$20 Vol.
1%
10°C
$35 Vol.
1%
11°C
$35 Vol.
4%
12°C
$57 Vol.
4%
13°C
$5 Vol.
7%
14°C
$60 Vol.
48%
15°C
$38 Vol.
34%
16°C
$20 Vol.
6%
17°C
$10 Vol.
1%
18°C o más
$90 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from MetService New Zealand and international ensembles indicate daytime maxima of 13–15°C for Wellington on June 12 under mild northerly flow and limited cloud cover, positioning 14°C as the leading market outcome at 49% implied probability. This reflects a modest warming signal relative to the long-term June average high of 12–13°C, following an early-month warm spell that produced record temperatures above 19°C. Ensemble spread remains narrow given the short lead time, though minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing could shift the final maximum by 1°C. Historical mid-June climatology shows highs rarely exceed 15°C, reinforcing trader focus on the current forecast consensus ahead of the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$378Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from MetService New Zealand and international ensembles indicate daytime maxima of 13–15°C for Wellington on June 12 under mild northerly flow and limited cloud cover, positioning 14°C as the leading market outcome at 49% implied probability. This reflects a modest warming signal relative to the long-term June average high of 12–13°C, following an early-month warm spell that produced record temperatures above 19°C. Ensemble spread remains narrow given the short lead time, though minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing could shift the final maximum by 1°C. Historical mid-June climatology shows highs rarely exceed 15°C, reinforcing trader focus on the current forecast consensus ahead of the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$378Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from MetService New Zealand and international ensembles indicate daytime maxima of 13–15°C for Wellington on June 12 under mild northerly flow and limited cloud cover, positioning 14°C as the leading market outcome at 49% implied probability. This reflects a modest warming signal relative to the long-term June average high of 12–13°C, following an early-month warm spell that produced record temperatures above 19°C. Ensemble spread remains narrow given the short lead time, though minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing could shift the final maximum by 1°C. Historical mid-June climatology shows highs rarely exceed 15°C, reinforcing trader focus on the current forecast consensus ahead of the next model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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