Recent forecast consensus from European models and agencies like the Met Office highlights a high near 17–18°C in Warsaw on June 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, westerly flow, and scattered thundery showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions create tight clustering in trader-implied odds between the two leading outcomes, as modest differences in shower timing or breaks in cloud could determine whether the peak reaches 18°C or stays at 17°C. Historical June averages near 21–22°C underscore the cooler anomaly, while final resolution depends on official maximum readings from Polish meteorological stations after tomorrow’s observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 15 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 15 de junio?
18°C 46%
17°C 36%
16°C 11%
19°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
10°C o menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
36%
18°C
46%
19°C
7%
20°C o más
3%
18°C 46%
17°C 36%
16°C 11%
19°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
10°C o menos
$605 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$249 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$630 Vol.
1%
15°C
$727 Vol.
2%
16°C
$909 Vol.
11%
17°C
$547 Vol.
36%
18°C
$1,148 Vol.
46%
19°C
$352 Vol.
7%
20°C o más
$1,278 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from European models and agencies like the Met Office highlights a high near 17–18°C in Warsaw on June 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, westerly flow, and scattered thundery showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions create tight clustering in trader-implied odds between the two leading outcomes, as modest differences in shower timing or breaks in cloud could determine whether the peak reaches 18°C or stays at 17°C. Historical June averages near 21–22°C underscore the cooler anomaly, while final resolution depends on official maximum readings from Polish meteorological stations after tomorrow’s observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$6,904Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from European models and agencies like the Met Office highlights a high near 17–18°C in Warsaw on June 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, westerly flow, and scattered thundery showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions create tight clustering in trader-implied odds between the two leading outcomes, as modest differences in shower timing or breaks in cloud could determine whether the peak reaches 18°C or stays at 17°C. Historical June averages near 21–22°C underscore the cooler anomaly, while final resolution depends on official maximum readings from Polish meteorological stations after tomorrow’s observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,904Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from European models and agencies like the Met Office highlights a high near 17–18°C in Warsaw on June 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, westerly flow, and scattered thundery showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions create tight clustering in trader-implied odds between the two leading outcomes, as modest differences in shower timing or breaks in cloud could determine whether the peak reaches 18°C or stays at 17°C. Historical June averages near 21–22°C underscore the cooler anomaly, while final resolution depends on official maximum readings from Polish meteorological stations after tomorrow’s observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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