Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15 most likely between 28–30°C, aligning with market-implied odds clustered around those values. Persistent monsoon moisture, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers are suppressing daytime heating relative to typical early-summer peaks, while high humidity and South China Sea sea-surface temperatures near 28°C limit further intensification. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable rainfall timing, keeping 31°C or higher probabilities low at under 14 percent combined. Historical June baselines average near 30–31°C, but current conditions favor the slightly cooler central range. Updated numerical runs and official station observations ahead of the 24-hour window will provide the final resolution data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
29°C 36%
30°C 25%
28°C 22%
31°C 10.9%
NUEVO
$12,391 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,391 Vol.
15 jun 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
22%
29°C
36%
30°C
25%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
3%
29°C 36%
30°C 25%
28°C 22%
31°C 10.9%
NUEVO
$12,391 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,391 Vol.
15 jun 2026
22°C or below
$367 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$735 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,102 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,279 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,066 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,434 Vol.
5%
28°C
$635 Vol.
22%
29°C
$508 Vol.
36%
30°C
$626 Vol.
25%
31°C
$1,647 Vol.
11%
32°C or higher
$1,118 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15 most likely between 28–30°C, aligning with market-implied odds clustered around those values. Persistent monsoon moisture, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers are suppressing daytime heating relative to typical early-summer peaks, while high humidity and South China Sea sea-surface temperatures near 28°C limit further intensification. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable rainfall timing, keeping 31°C or higher probabilities low at under 14 percent combined. Historical June baselines average near 30–31°C, but current conditions favor the slightly cooler central range. Updated numerical runs and official station observations ahead of the 24-hour window will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$12,391Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15 most likely between 28–30°C, aligning with market-implied odds clustered around those values. Persistent monsoon moisture, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers are suppressing daytime heating relative to typical early-summer peaks, while high humidity and South China Sea sea-surface temperatures near 28°C limit further intensification. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable rainfall timing, keeping 31°C or higher probabilities low at under 14 percent combined. Historical June baselines average near 30–31°C, but current conditions favor the slightly cooler central range. Updated numerical runs and official station observations ahead of the 24-hour window will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,391Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15 most likely between 28–30°C, aligning with market-implied odds clustered around those values. Persistent monsoon moisture, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers are suppressing daytime heating relative to typical early-summer peaks, while high humidity and South China Sea sea-surface temperatures near 28°C limit further intensification. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable rainfall timing, keeping 31°C or higher probabilities low at under 14 percent combined. Historical June baselines average near 30–31°C, but current conditions favor the slightly cooler central range. Updated numerical runs and official station observations ahead of the 24-hour window will provide the final resolution data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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