Trader consensus centers on mid-80s highs for Houston on June 15 because short-range model guidance and recent observations point to increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that will limit daytime heating below the 91–92°F June climatological normal. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of convective development, which depends on boundary-layer moisture, weak steering flow, and any subtle mid-level cooling; stronger or earlier storms favor the 84–85°F bin while delayed or weaker activity allows readings to reach the 86–87°F range. Official National Weather Service normals list a 92°F average maximum for mid-June, yet current ensemble spreads show limited upside risk above 88°F and negligible downside below 82°F given the subtropical airmass in place. Updated model runs and afternoon National Weather Service briefings remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 15 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 15 de junio?
86-87°F 33%
84-85°F 29%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
75°F o menos
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
2%
94°F o más
1%
86-87°F 33%
84-85°F 29%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
75°F o menos
$29 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$17 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$730 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$272 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$394 Vol.
8%
84-85°F
$231 Vol.
29%
86-87°F
$577 Vol.
33%
88-89°F
$757 Vol.
16%
90-91°F
$1,088 Vol.
6%
92-93°F
$2,240 Vol.
2%
94°F o más
$1,015 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on mid-80s highs for Houston on June 15 because short-range model guidance and recent observations point to increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that will limit daytime heating below the 91–92°F June climatological normal. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of convective development, which depends on boundary-layer moisture, weak steering flow, and any subtle mid-level cooling; stronger or earlier storms favor the 84–85°F bin while delayed or weaker activity allows readings to reach the 86–87°F range. Official National Weather Service normals list a 92°F average maximum for mid-June, yet current ensemble spreads show limited upside risk above 88°F and negligible downside below 82°F given the subtropical airmass in place. Updated model runs and afternoon National Weather Service briefings remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volumen
$7,293Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on mid-80s highs for Houston on June 15 because short-range model guidance and recent observations point to increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that will limit daytime heating below the 91–92°F June climatological normal. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of convective development, which depends on boundary-layer moisture, weak steering flow, and any subtle mid-level cooling; stronger or earlier storms favor the 84–85°F bin while delayed or weaker activity allows readings to reach the 86–87°F range. Official National Weather Service normals list a 92°F average maximum for mid-June, yet current ensemble spreads show limited upside risk above 88°F and negligible downside below 82°F given the subtropical airmass in place. Updated model runs and afternoon National Weather Service briefings remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,293Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on mid-80s highs for Houston on June 15 because short-range model guidance and recent observations point to increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that will limit daytime heating below the 91–92°F June climatological normal. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of convective development, which depends on boundary-layer moisture, weak steering flow, and any subtle mid-level cooling; stronger or earlier storms favor the 84–85°F bin while delayed or weaker activity allows readings to reach the 86–87°F range. Official National Weather Service normals list a 92°F average maximum for mid-June, yet current ensemble spreads show limited upside risk above 88°F and negligible downside below 82°F given the subtropical airmass in place. Updated model runs and afternoon National Weather Service briefings remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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