Latest forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a daytime high near 29°C for Guangzhou on June 15, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, extensive cloud cover, and limited solar heating in the subtropical environment. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value, with slight differences in boundary-layer mixing or brief clearing determining whether readings reach 30–31°C or stay at 28°C. Historical June maxima average near 31°C, but current conditions favor suppression below that baseline. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the date will refine these probabilities, where market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of this narrow forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
30°C 34%
29°C 27%
28°C 18%
31°C 16%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
18%
29°C
27%
30°C
34%
31°C
16%
32°C or higher
6%
30°C 34%
29°C 27%
28°C 18%
31°C 16%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
18%
29°C
27%
30°C
34%
31°C
16%
32°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a daytime high near 29°C for Guangzhou on June 15, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, extensive cloud cover, and limited solar heating in the subtropical environment. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value, with slight differences in boundary-layer mixing or brief clearing determining whether readings reach 30–31°C or stay at 28°C. Historical June maxima average near 31°C, but current conditions favor suppression below that baseline. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the date will refine these probabilities, where market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of this narrow forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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