Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a maximum of roughly 32°C for Chengdu on June 15 under cloudy skies, with limited daytime heating due to regional monsoon influences and typical early-June humidity levels that moderate extremes. This aligns with historical June averages near 31°C and supports the 71% market-implied probability on 31°C or below. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for any late intensification against stable steering patterns, while noting minor upside risks from localized variability in official station readings. Updated guidance from Chinese meteorological services on the morning of June 15 will provide the final resolution data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
31°C or below 71%
32°C 22%
33°C 6%
34°C 3.6%
NUEVO
$16,414 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,414 Vol.
15 jun 2026
31°C or below
71%
32°C
22%
33°C
6%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
31°C or below 71%
32°C 22%
33°C 6%
34°C 3.6%
NUEVO
$16,414 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,414 Vol.
15 jun 2026
31°C or below
$4,471 Vol.
71%
32°C
$1,527 Vol.
22%
33°C
$1,042 Vol.
6%
34°C
$1,563 Vol.
4%
35°C
$2,306 Vol.
1%
36°C
$2,104 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,245 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$647 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$528 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$548 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$442 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a maximum of roughly 32°C for Chengdu on June 15 under cloudy skies, with limited daytime heating due to regional monsoon influences and typical early-June humidity levels that moderate extremes. This aligns with historical June averages near 31°C and supports the 71% market-implied probability on 31°C or below. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for any late intensification against stable steering patterns, while noting minor upside risks from localized variability in official station readings. Updated guidance from Chinese meteorological services on the morning of June 15 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$16,414Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a maximum of roughly 32°C for Chengdu on June 15 under cloudy skies, with limited daytime heating due to regional monsoon influences and typical early-June humidity levels that moderate extremes. This aligns with historical June averages near 31°C and supports the 71% market-implied probability on 31°C or below. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for any late intensification against stable steering patterns, while noting minor upside risks from localized variability in official station readings. Updated guidance from Chinese meteorological services on the morning of June 15 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$16,414Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a maximum of roughly 32°C for Chengdu on June 15 under cloudy skies, with limited daytime heating due to regional monsoon influences and typical early-June humidity levels that moderate extremes. This aligns with historical June averages near 31°C and supports the 71% market-implied probability on 31°C or below. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for any late intensification against stable steering patterns, while noting minor upside risks from localized variability in official station readings. Updated guidance from Chinese meteorological services on the morning of June 15 will provide the final resolution data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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