Current forecasts for Cape Town on June 15, 2026, point to a typical winter daytime high near 16°C, aligning with the market's leading 47% implied probability for that outcome and supporting 26.5% odds on 17°C. Seasonal norms place average June maxima around 17–19°C, but recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and Weather25 shows moderation to 15–16°C amid cooler Atlantic airflow and possible lingering effects from mid-month cold fronts. These conditions favor the clustered 15–17°C range (over 99% combined probability) over extremes, as historical June variability rarely exceeds 72°F without strong ridging. Updated short-range guidance expected from the South African Weather Service will likely refine steering patterns and confirm whether any coastal warming pushes readings toward 17°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 15 de junio?
16°C 48%
17°C 28%
15°C 24%
18°C 2.5%
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
24%
16°C
48%
17°C
28%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o más
<1%
16°C 48%
17°C 28%
15°C 24%
18°C 2.5%
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
24%
16°C
48%
17°C
28%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Cape Town on June 15, 2026, point to a typical winter daytime high near 16°C, aligning with the market's leading 47% implied probability for that outcome and supporting 26.5% odds on 17°C. Seasonal norms place average June maxima around 17–19°C, but recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and Weather25 shows moderation to 15–16°C amid cooler Atlantic airflow and possible lingering effects from mid-month cold fronts. These conditions favor the clustered 15–17°C range (over 99% combined probability) over extremes, as historical June variability rarely exceeds 72°F without strong ridging. Updated short-range guidance expected from the South African Weather Service will likely refine steering patterns and confirm whether any coastal warming pushes readings toward 17°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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