Current forecasts from models like those referenced by AccuWeather and regional meteorological services place Beijing’s June 12 high near 32–34 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Mid-June climatology features strengthening subtropical high pressure that promotes subsidence and clear skies, while variable moisture from the East Asian monsoon can either enhance or suppress daytime heating depending on cloud cover and timing of any frontal passages. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this short lead time, yet small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could tip the peak across the 32–34 °C thresholds. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and revised model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 12 de junio?
33°C 35%
32°C 23%
34°C 17%
35°C 10%
29°C o menos
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
5%
32°C
23%
33°C
35%
34°C
25%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C o más
1%
33°C 35%
32°C 23%
34°C 17%
35°C 10%
29°C o menos
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
5%
32°C
23%
33°C
35%
34°C
25%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models like those referenced by AccuWeather and regional meteorological services place Beijing’s June 12 high near 32–34 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Mid-June climatology features strengthening subtropical high pressure that promotes subsidence and clear skies, while variable moisture from the East Asian monsoon can either enhance or suppress daytime heating depending on cloud cover and timing of any frontal passages. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this short lead time, yet small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could tip the peak across the 32–34 °C thresholds. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and revised model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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