Market-implied odds favor an 18°C high in Amsterdam on June 15 with 46.5% probability, followed closely by 17°C at 34%, reflecting consensus from short-range ensemble forecasts that place maximum temperatures in the 17–19°C range under moderate westerly flow. June climatology for the region typically features highs near 20°C, yet current model guidance indicates suppressed warmth due to Atlantic troughing and limited insolation from variable cloud cover. Forecasters at KNMI and ECMWF highlight modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing, which could nudge readings by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum observations from Amsterdam’s Schiphol station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
18°C 48%
17°C 34%
19°C 15%
16°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
34%
18°C
48%
19°C
15%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 48%
17°C 34%
19°C 15%
16°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
14°C or below
$417 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$360 Vol.
1%
16°C
$813 Vol.
6%
17°C
$870 Vol.
34%
18°C
$444 Vol.
48%
19°C
$1,017 Vol.
15%
20°C
$559 Vol.
1%
21°C
$608 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$621 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$81 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds favor an 18°C high in Amsterdam on June 15 with 46.5% probability, followed closely by 17°C at 34%, reflecting consensus from short-range ensemble forecasts that place maximum temperatures in the 17–19°C range under moderate westerly flow. June climatology for the region typically features highs near 20°C, yet current model guidance indicates suppressed warmth due to Atlantic troughing and limited insolation from variable cloud cover. Forecasters at KNMI and ECMWF highlight modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing, which could nudge readings by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum observations from Amsterdam’s Schiphol station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$6,198Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds favor an 18°C high in Amsterdam on June 15 with 46.5% probability, followed closely by 17°C at 34%, reflecting consensus from short-range ensemble forecasts that place maximum temperatures in the 17–19°C range under moderate westerly flow. June climatology for the region typically features highs near 20°C, yet current model guidance indicates suppressed warmth due to Atlantic troughing and limited insolation from variable cloud cover. Forecasters at KNMI and ECMWF highlight modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing, which could nudge readings by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum observations from Amsterdam’s Schiphol station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,198Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds favor an 18°C high in Amsterdam on June 15 with 46.5% probability, followed closely by 17°C at 34%, reflecting consensus from short-range ensemble forecasts that place maximum temperatures in the 17–19°C range under moderate westerly flow. June climatology for the region typically features highs near 20°C, yet current model guidance indicates suppressed warmth due to Atlantic troughing and limited insolation from variable cloud cover. Forecasters at KNMI and ECMWF highlight modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing, which could nudge readings by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum observations from Amsterdam’s Schiphol station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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