Deep Fission's May 20 announcement launching its Nasdaq IPO roadshow, with shares priced at $24–$26 to target roughly $1.66 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader expectations around the $1.5–2.0 billion range. The Berkeley-based company is developing small modular pressurized water reactors emplaced one mile underground in 30-inch boreholes, a design that combines proven light-water technology with oil-and-gas drilling methods to reduce surface footprint and enhance passive safety. Recent milestones include DOE Reactor Pilot Program selection, groundbreaking for a Kansas pilot site, and initial data-well drilling, all aimed at a 2026–2027 demonstration timeline amid surging AI-driven power demand. With the offering expected to raise up to $156 million and pricing still subject to market conditions, investor sentiment remains balanced between the two leading brackets while the 14.5% chance of no IPO before August reflects potential regulatory or execution slippage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1.5B–$1.75B 37%
$1.75B–$2.0B 37%
No IPO before August 2026 1.9%
$2.5B–$3.0B 1.3%
$13,065 Vol.
$13,065 Vol.
<$1.25B
13%
$1.25B–$1.5B
12%
$1.5B–$1.75B
37%
$1.75B–$2.0B
37%
$2.0B–$2.5B
13%
$2.5B–$3.0B
10%
$3.0B+
11%
No IPO before August 2026
13%
$1.5B–$1.75B 37%
$1.75B–$2.0B 37%
No IPO before August 2026 1.9%
$2.5B–$3.0B 1.3%
$13,065 Vol.
$13,065 Vol.
<$1.25B
13%
$1.25B–$1.5B
12%
$1.5B–$1.75B
37%
$1.75B–$2.0B
37%
$2.0B–$2.5B
13%
$2.5B–$3.0B
10%
$3.0B+
11%
No IPO before August 2026
13%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Deep Fission's May 20 announcement launching its Nasdaq IPO roadshow, with shares priced at $24–$26 to target roughly $1.66 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader expectations around the $1.5–2.0 billion range. The Berkeley-based company is developing small modular pressurized water reactors emplaced one mile underground in 30-inch boreholes, a design that combines proven light-water technology with oil-and-gas drilling methods to reduce surface footprint and enhance passive safety. Recent milestones include DOE Reactor Pilot Program selection, groundbreaking for a Kansas pilot site, and initial data-well drilling, all aimed at a 2026–2027 demonstration timeline amid surging AI-driven power demand. With the offering expected to raise up to $156 million and pricing still subject to market conditions, investor sentiment remains balanced between the two leading brackets while the 14.5% chance of no IPO before August reflects potential regulatory or execution slippage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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