Safepoint Holdings, a Florida- and Louisiana-focused property insurer, filed its S-1 on May 8, 2026, and launched its roadshow later that month with shares priced at $15–$17, implying a market capitalization near $1.16 billion at the midpoint. Trader consensus reflects this filing range as the modal outcome at 21.5% probability for the $1.1B–$1.3B bucket, supported by reported premium growth to $1.03 billion in-force and net income of $48 million in the first quarter of 2026. The leading 36.7% probability assigned to no IPO before August 2026 incorporates the recent postponement of the expected June 4 pricing and trading debut on the NYSE under ticker SFPT. Macro tailwinds from post-reform coastal insurance dislocation continue to underpin valuation expectations, though execution timing remains the dominant near-term swing factor.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNo IPO before August 2026 31.0%
$1.1B–$1.3B 22%
$900M–$1.1B 12%
<$900M 9%
$13,709 Vol.
$13,709 Vol.
4 jun 2026
<$900M
9%
$900M–$1.1B
12%
$1.1B–$1.3B
22%
$1.3B–$1.5B
7%
$1.5B–$1.7B
5%
$1.7B+
3%
No IPO before August 2026
37%
No IPO before August 2026 31.0%
$1.1B–$1.3B 22%
$900M–$1.1B 12%
<$900M 9%
$13,709 Vol.
$13,709 Vol.
4 jun 2026
<$900M
$358 Vol.
9%
$900M–$1.1B
$6,063 Vol.
12%
$1.1B–$1.3B
$5,073 Vol.
22%
$1.3B–$1.5B
$807 Vol.
7%
$1.5B–$1.7B
$680 Vol.
5%
$1.7B+
$267 Vol.
3%
No IPO before August 2026
$462 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve based on Safepoint's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Safepoint Holdings, a Florida- and Louisiana-focused property insurer, filed its S-1 on May 8, 2026, and launched its roadshow later that month with shares priced at $15–$17, implying a market capitalization near $1.16 billion at the midpoint. Trader consensus reflects this filing range as the modal outcome at 21.5% probability for the $1.1B–$1.3B bucket, supported by reported premium growth to $1.03 billion in-force and net income of $48 million in the first quarter of 2026. The leading 36.7% probability assigned to no IPO before August 2026 incorporates the recent postponement of the expected June 4 pricing and trading debut on the NYSE under ticker SFPT. Macro tailwinds from post-reform coastal insurance dislocation continue to underpin valuation expectations, though execution timing remains the dominant near-term swing factor.
This market will resolve based on Safepoint's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: May 27, 2026, 10:32 PM ET
Volumen
$13,709Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 10:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Safepoint's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Safepoint Holdings, a Florida- and Louisiana-focused property insurer, filed its S-1 on May 8, 2026, and launched its roadshow later that month with shares priced at $15–$17, implying a market capitalization near $1.16 billion at the midpoint. Trader consensus reflects this filing range as the modal outcome at 21.5% probability for the $1.1B–$1.3B bucket, supported by reported premium growth to $1.03 billion in-force and net income of $48 million in the first quarter of 2026. The leading 36.7% probability assigned to no IPO before August 2026 incorporates the recent postponement of the expected June 4 pricing and trading debut on the NYSE under ticker SFPT. Macro tailwinds from post-reform coastal insurance dislocation continue to underpin valuation expectations, though execution timing remains the dominant near-term swing factor.
This market will resolve based on Safepoint's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volumen
$13,709Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 10:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Safepoint Holdings, a Florida- and Louisiana-focused property insurer, filed its S-1 on May 8, 2026, and launched its roadshow later that month with shares priced at $15–$17, implying a market capitalization near $1.16 billion at the midpoint. Trader consensus reflects this filing range as the modal outcome at 21.5% probability for the $1.1B–$1.3B bucket, supported by reported premium growth to $1.03 billion in-force and net income of $48 million in the first quarter of 2026. The leading 36.7% probability assigned to no IPO before August 2026 incorporates the recent postponement of the expected June 4 pricing and trading debut on the NYSE under ticker SFPT. Macro tailwinds from post-reform coastal insurance dislocation continue to underpin valuation expectations, though execution timing remains the dominant near-term swing factor.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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