Baidu's ERNIE-5.1-Preview large language model has propelled trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability on Polymarket, topping the LMArena Text Arena leaderboard— the market's resolution source—as the leading Chinese AI offering on April 30, ranking No. 1 domestically and No. 13 globally. This fresh preview release outpaces rivals like DeepSeek's V4-Pro, Alibaba's Qwen series, and Moonshot's Kimi in crowdsourced human preference battles, reflecting Baidu's edge in reasoning and multimodal capabilities amid China's hyper-competitive LLM race fueled by open-source innovation and domestic compute scaling. While skin-in-the-game traders see minimal upside elsewhere, a last-minute leaderboard recalculation before end-of-April snapshot or benchmark controversy could theoretically challenge this dominance, though such shifts are rare post-update.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La mejor empresa china de IA a finales de abril?
¿La mejor empresa china de IA a finales de abril?
Baidu 100.0%
Alibaba <1%
Meituan <1%
ByteDance <1%
$699,945 Vol.
$699,945 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Baidu
100%
Alibaba
<1%
Meituan
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Baidu 100.0%
Alibaba <1%
Meituan <1%
ByteDance <1%
$699,945 Vol.
$699,945 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Baidu
$95,811 Vol.
100%
Alibaba
$159,405 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$21,577 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$48,523 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$138,579 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$101,459 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$57,234 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$77,358 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Baidu's ERNIE-5.1-Preview large language model has propelled trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability on Polymarket, topping the LMArena Text Arena leaderboard— the market's resolution source—as the leading Chinese AI offering on April 30, ranking No. 1 domestically and No. 13 globally. This fresh preview release outpaces rivals like DeepSeek's V4-Pro, Alibaba's Qwen series, and Moonshot's Kimi in crowdsourced human preference battles, reflecting Baidu's edge in reasoning and multimodal capabilities amid China's hyper-competitive LLM race fueled by open-source innovation and domestic compute scaling. While skin-in-the-game traders see minimal upside elsewhere, a last-minute leaderboard recalculation before end-of-April snapshot or benchmark controversy could theoretically challenge this dominance, though such shifts are rare post-update.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Volumen
$699,945Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Baidu's ERNIE-5.1-Preview large language model has propelled trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability on Polymarket, topping the LMArena Text Arena leaderboard— the market's resolution source—as the leading Chinese AI offering on April 30, ranking No. 1 domestically and No. 13 globally. This fresh preview release outpaces rivals like DeepSeek's V4-Pro, Alibaba's Qwen series, and Moonshot's Kimi in crowdsourced human preference battles, reflecting Baidu's edge in reasoning and multimodal capabilities amid China's hyper-competitive LLM race fueled by open-source innovation and domestic compute scaling. While skin-in-the-game traders see minimal upside elsewhere, a last-minute leaderboard recalculation before end-of-April snapshot or benchmark controversy could theoretically challenge this dominance, though such shifts are rare post-update.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$699,945Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Baidu's ERNIE-5.1-Preview large language model has propelled trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability on Polymarket, topping the LMArena Text Arena leaderboard— the market's resolution source—as the leading Chinese AI offering on April 30, ranking No. 1 domestically and No. 13 globally. This fresh preview release outpaces rivals like DeepSeek's V4-Pro, Alibaba's Qwen series, and Moonshot's Kimi in crowdsourced human preference battles, reflecting Baidu's edge in reasoning and multimodal capabilities amid China's hyper-competitive LLM race fueled by open-source innovation and domestic compute scaling. While skin-in-the-game traders see minimal upside elsewhere, a last-minute leaderboard recalculation before end-of-April snapshot or benchmark controversy could theoretically challenge this dominance, though such shifts are rare post-update.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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