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Ukraine Map predictions & odds

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Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

<1%

June 30

$993K Vol.

$132K today

$259K Liq.

33

Ends in 7 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

48%

December 31

$4M Vol.

$234K Liq.

112

Ends in 7 months

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

16%

$525K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

19

Ends in 7 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

28%

$2M Vol.

$52.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

18%

December 31

$472K Vol.

$25.0K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

Ukraine election called by...?

Ukraine election called by...?

16%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$45.8K Liq.

36

Ends in 7 months

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

32%

December 31

$391K Vol.

$172K Liq.

24

Ends in 7 months

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

1%

June 30

$167K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

12

Ends in 7 months

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

70%

December 31

$9.4K Vol.

$24.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

2%

$698K Vol.

$52.4K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

2%

$163K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

13%

$2M Vol.

$57.5K Liq.

89

Ends in 7 months

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

4%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

90

Ends in 15 days

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

1%

$368K Vol.

$27.7K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

2%

$2M Vol.

$18.0K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?

Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?

14%

$21.9K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 15 days

Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by...?

Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by...?

64%

December 31

$55.7K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

5

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

16%

$45.1K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

10%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$24.9K Liq.

125

Ends in 7 months

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

16%

$603K Vol.

$30.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Ukraine Map.

Polymarket currently hosts 146 active markets for Ukraine Map that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $20.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 48% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Ukraine Map predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.